Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 3 (10/3): MLB

Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 3 (10/3): MLB

 

Odds

Time 6:40 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +105
Phillies run line +1.5 (-165)
Astros money line -125
Astros run line -1.5 (+140)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 82-66 98-51
Home / road record 49-27 48-28
Last 10 record 4-6 8-2
Streak L2 W3
Over / under record 66-73-9 55-84-10
Runs / game 4.23 4.52
Runs allowed / game 3.74 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 3rd game of the series at the Tropicana Field on Wednesday. The Astros shoutout the Phillies again 5-0 in the second game of the series. 

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 72-58 record and have won 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.67 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 593 runs scored in 1096 hits and 162 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 35 home runs and 73 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .292 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 3.07 ERA, 148 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA)

Nola will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Phillies. Nola took the loss to Texas on Friday, allowing four runs on nine hits while striking out six and walking none over 5.2 innings. He has a record of 6-3 with an ERA of 3.03 and 83 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 98-52 record and have won 8 of their last 9 games. They're averaging 4.52 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 662 runs scored in 1200 hits and 196 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 93 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.78 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 17 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Lance McCullers Jr. (3-1, 2.34 ERA)

McCullers Jr. will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. McCullers allowed two runs on two hits and four walks while striking out 11 in six innings during a 5-2 win over Oakland on Thursday. He did not factor into the decision. He has a 3-2 record with an ERA of 2.81 and 37 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Phillies in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Philadelphia.

Houston are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

Houston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros clinched the AL West and still continue to win games and have allowed only 2 runs in the last 3 games. Lance McCullers will start for the Astros who has good since his return and the Astros have won in his last 3 starts. Nola will start for the Phillies who has been pretty solid this season so I expect him to dominate on the mound and give the Phillies the chance to avoid a sweep..

PICK: Phillies ML (+125)

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