ATP Marseille Final Preview: Hubert Hurkacz vs. Benjamin Bonzi (2/26/23)
- A Plus Picks
- Feb 26, 2023, 3:36:41 AM
The ATP Marseille final will witness a showdown between two players who have worked their way through the draw with impressive performances. Hubert Hurkacz, the top seed and world #11, will take on Benjamin Bonzi, the Frenchman who is currently ranked #60 in the world. This match promises to be a close contest, and we will analyze both players' performances to predict the winner.
Hubert Hurkacz has been in top form throughout the tournament and played his best match in the semifinals against Alexander Bublik. He won in straight sets, hitting 22 aces and not losing any of his service games. However, his performance in the earlier rounds was unconvincing, and he had to come from a set down in both his matches against Leandro Riedi and Mikael Ymer.
Hurkacz's record in championship matches of tour-level events is impressive, having won five out of six such matches. He has delivered big results at the Masters level and maximized his points during the weeks when he finds his form. His only defeat in a championship match came last year against Pablo Carreno Busta at the Montreal Masters.
Benjamin Bonzi made a slow start to the tournament but gained momentum in recent matches. He dominated Alex de Minaur in the quarterfinal and secured a comfortable straight-set win against Arthur Fils in the semifinal. Bonzi will aim to win his first-ever ATP title in the same venue where he achieved his breakthrough result on the main tour 12 months ago.
Bonzi has made significant progress on the main tour since gaining much-needed confidence and belief in Marseille last year. He played six matches against top-20 players between the 2022 and 2023 editions of this tournament and emerged victorious in two of them. However, he has only managed to progress beyond the opening round of an ATP event once in 2023.
Public betting data shows that 70% of the bets are in favor of Hurkacz to win the match. The majority of the bets are for Hurkacz to cover the spread of -2.5 games. The total points in the match is predicted to be under 23.5 games.
Although both players have performed equally this week, Hurkacz holds the slight edge due to his impressive track record at this stage of ATP events. He has experience in championship matches of tour-level events, and his form suggests that he is the favorite to win the match. Bonzi has gained momentum in recent matches, but he lacks the experience of playing in a championship match.
Pick: Hubert Hurkacz (-2.5)