Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28 (8/28): MLB

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 28 (8/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Mariners money line -150
Mariners run line -1.5 (+140)
Guardians money line +126
Guardians run line +1.5 (-165)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Cleveland Guardians Seattle Mariners
Record 67-58 69-58
Home / road record 35-33 34-28
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 56-62-7 60-60-6
Runs / game 4.35 4.14
Runs allowed / game 4.03 3.88

 

Preview

The Cleveland Guardians and the Seattle Mariners will play the 4th game of the series at the T-Mobile Park on Sunday. The Guardians took the win 4-3 in the 3rd game of the series. Ramírez homered and sparked an eighth-inning comeback with an RBI double and Zach Plesac won for the first time since early June.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 67-58 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.35 runs and batting for .252 AVG, 531 runs scored in 1050 hits and 99 home runs, ranking #15 in offense, behind the Minnesota Twins. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .285 avg, 25 home runs and 103 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.03 runs per game and ranking #10 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 3.10 ERA, 144 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher:

Aaron Civale (2-5, 5.37 ERA) will be on the mound for the Guardians in the 4th game of the series. Civale allowed a run on four hits, two walks and a hit batter while striking out four in 4.2 innings, taking a no-decision versus the Padres on Tuesday. He has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 3.07 and 17 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Mariners in his career.

 

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 69-58 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.14 runs per game. They're batting for .232 AVG, 513 runs scored in 958 hits and 139 home runs, ranking #23 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Eugenio Suarez leads with 71 RBI and 23 home runs and batting for .229 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .278.

Defensively are allowing 3.88 runs per game, ranking #7 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 10 wins and pitching for a 3.52 ERA and 131 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Robbie Ray (10-8, 3.85 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners in the 3rd game of the series. Ray allowed a run on two hits and two walks while striking out seven in 6.2 innings to earn the win Tuesday over the Nationals. He has an ERA of 2.57 and 5 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Cleveland Indians in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Cleveland's last 10 games on the road.

Cleveland are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games at home

Prediction

Both offenses have been cold on this series and looks like they'll continue to be with this pitching matchup. Aaron Civale will take the mound for the Guardians who has been pretty solid lately and has allowed less than 2 runs in each of his last 5 starts. The Mariners will send Robbie Ray to start this game who has also been sharp allowing no more than 2 runs in his last 4 starts. Given how close these games have been I think we get great value with the Guardians as underdogs. Take Cleveland.

PICK: Guardians ML (+126)

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