San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

San Francisco Giants vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 16 (7/16): MLB

Credit: photo by John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:15 p.m. EST
Giants money line +108
Giants run line +1.5 (-180)
Brewers money line -130
Brewers run line -1.5 (+155)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  San Francisco Giants Milwaukee Brewers
Record 45-43 50-41
Home / road record 23-22 29-22
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 42-41-5 44-42-5
Runs / game 4.78 4.53
Runs allowed / game 4.45 4.17

 

Preview

The San Francisco Giants and the Milwaukee Brewers will play the 3rd game of the series at the Oracle Park on Saturday. The Giants bounced back and took the win 8-5 to tied the series. Mike Yastrzemski hit a game-ending grand slam off major league saves leader Josh Hader for San Francisco's third homer of the ninth inning.

San Francisco Giants

The Giants get here with a 46-43 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.78 runs per game and they're batting for .238 AVG, 416 runs scored in 689 hits and 105 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the Los Angeles Dodgers. Joc Pederson leads the team with 17 home runs and 41 RBI. Yastrzemski is batting for an average of .269.

Defensively they are allowing 4.28 runs per game and rank #18 in the league. Carlos Rodon allowed 1 run across 5 innings against the Brewers. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.66 ERA, 131 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Alex Cobb (3-4, 4.57 ERA) will be on the mound for the Giants in the 3rd game of the series. Cobb took the loss Monday against the Diamondbacks after allowing three runs on six hits and four walks with four strikeouts in six innings. He has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 1.29 and 18 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 50-41 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. They're averaging 4.53 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 403 runs scored in 697 hits and 122 home runs, ranking #12 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Willy Adames leads the team with 18 home runs and 49 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .227 AVG and has 51 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 4.17 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes pitched 7.1 innings allowing onlny 1 run against the Giants. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.14 ERA, 144 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Eric Lauer (6-3, 3.83 ERA)

Lauer will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Brewers. In an 8-6 loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday, Lauer allowed three runs (two earned) on six hits and a walk while striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision. He has a record of 3-0 with an ERA of 3.61 and 39 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Giants in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.

Milwaukee Brewers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games against Milwaukee.

San Francisco Giants are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Prediction

The offenses exploded in game 2 and scored 13 runs combined in what was expected to be a low scoring game. For this game the Brewers will send Eric Lauer to the mound who has been up and down this season and has been pounded in his last 6 starts. The Giants bounced back and scored 8 runs on Friday's game and I think they'll continue to stay hot for this game. Alex Cobb has struggled this season and the Giants have lost 8 of 13 games when he has started. Expect both offense to pound these pitchers, take the over.

PICK: Over 8 (-110)

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