Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 22 (7/22): MLB
- Lm Tipster
- Jul 21, 2022, 10:46:31 PM
Credit: photo by Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports
Odds
| Time | 7:05 p.m. EST |
| Phillies money line | -135 |
| Phillies run line | -1.5 (+140) |
| Cubs money line | +113 |
| Cubs run line | +1.5 (-165) |
| Over / under | 9 |
Key stats
| Philadelphia Phillies | Chicago Cubs | |
| Record | 49-43 | 35-57 |
| Home / road record | 24-21 | 17-25 |
| Last 10 record | 6-4 | 1-9 |
| Streak | W3 | W1 |
| Over / under record | 47-43-2 | 42-44-6 |
| Runs / game | 4.68 | 4.20 |
| Runs allowed / game | 4.01 | 5.13 |
Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies and the Chicago Cubs will meet for the first time this season to play a 3-game series at the Citizens Bank Park. The Cubs lost their last 3 series before the All-Star break while the Phillies swept the Marlins in their last series.
Philadelphia Phillies
The Phillies get to this game with a 49-43 record and have won their last 3 games. The team is averaging 4.68 runs per game. They're batting for .246 AVG, 431 runs scored in 766 hits and 120 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the New York Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 29 home runs and 58 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .276 avg.
Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.89 ERA, 108 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded for the Phillies.
Probable Pitcher: Kyle Gibson (5-3, 4.35 ERA)
Gibson will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Phillies. In a six-inning, 2-1 victory over the Marlins, Gibson (5-3) earned the win. He gave up just one run on four hits and a walk. He had five strikeouts. He is 0-2 with an ERA of 5.40 and 13 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Cubs in his career.
Chicago Cubs
The Cubs get here with a 35-57 record and have lost 9 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs per game. They're batting for .244 AVG, 386 runs scored in 761 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 17 home runs and 46 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.
Defensively they are allowing 5.13 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson leads the pitching staff with a 3.45 ERA, 75 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.
Probable Pitcher:
Justin Steele (3-6, 4.15 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Cubs. Steele took the loss against the Orioles on Wednesday, allowing three earned runs on six hits and one walk over six innings. He struck out three batters. He hasn't pitched against the Phillies in his career.
BETTING TRENDS
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
Chi Cubs are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against Philadelphia.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games.
Prediction
The Cubs continue to struggle offensively as they have scored an average of only 1.6 runs per game in the last 5 games. They'll send Justin Steele to the mound who has done a decent job so far but the Cubs are 6-11 when he has started this season. Kyle Gibson will get the ball for the Phillies and he has had 2 last good outings allowing only 1 run in 13 innings pitched. The Phillies won't count with Alec Bohm until Saturday's game and with Harper still out they'll be short in offense. Gibson has struggled against the Cubs in his career so I think this a good spot for them to steal a win. Take the Cubs.
PICK: Cubs ML (+113)
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