New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 22 (10/22): MLB

New York Yankees vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 22 (10/22): MLB

Odds

Time 5:07 p.m. EST
Yankees money line -140
Yankees run line -1.5 (+145)
Astros money line +117
Astros run line +1.5 (-170)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Houston Astros
Record 102-67 111-56
Home / road record 59-25 52-30
Last 10 record 5-5 8-2
Streak L2 W7
Over / under record 77-86-6 61-95-11
Runs / game 4.98 4.55
Runs allowed / game 3.50 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees will now meet at the Yankee Stadium to play the 3rd game of the ALCS on Saturday. The Astros took the win 3-2 in Game 2 to take the lead 2-0 on the series. Bregman connected for an early three-run homer and Valdez threw seven strong innings.

 

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 102-67 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.98 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 807 runs scored in 1308 hits and 254 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 62 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.50 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.50 ERA, 257 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Gerrit Cole (13-8, 3.50 ERA)

Cole will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Yankees. Cole pitched 7 strong innings allowin 2 runs on 6 hits in the 4-2 win vs Guardians. He has a 1-2 record with an ERA of 2.57 and 28 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 111-56 record and have won 9 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA)

Javier will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Astros. Javier pitched only 1 inning in relief labor allowing 1 run in the 8-7 win vs Mariners. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.60 and 21 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Yankees in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games.

Houston are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against NY Yankees.

Houston are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games on the road.

Houston are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games.

NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees' last 5 games against Houston.

NY Yankees are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros have dominated the Yankees at home but they're 7-13 in the last 20 games playing in New York. Cristian Javier will take the mound for this game who has been pretty solid lately as a starter and hasn't allowed a single run in his last 4 starts and has dominated the Yankees in his career. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yanks who has also been solid this season and domimnated the Astros the last time he faced them. The Astros got a shot of luck with Bregman's home run in Game 2 and they have struggled on the road vs Yankees so I'll take the Yankees to win in Game 3.

PICK: Yankees ML (-140)

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