New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 7 (8/7): MLB

New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 7 (8/7): MLB

Credit: photo by  Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 4:10 p.m. EST
Braves money line +122
Braves run line +1.5 (-180)
Mets money line -145
Mets run line -1.5 (+155)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  New York Mets
Record 64-45 69-39
Road / home record 27-23 34-18
Last 10 record 6-4 8-2
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 56-49-4 57-45-6
Runs / game 4.80 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.91 3.74

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will play the 5th game of the series at the Citi Field on Saturday. The Mets won the 2 games of the Saturday's double-header to take the lead 3-1 on the series.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 64-45 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .249 AVG, 500 runs scored in 888 hits and 161 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Austin Riley is leading the team with 29 home runs and 68 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.91 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.58 ERA, 122 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Spencer Strider (6-3, 2.79 ERA)

Strider will be on the mound in the 5th game of the series for Atlanta. Strider has been spectacular as a rookie this season, posting a 3.02 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 96:21 K:BB through only 62.2 innings since moving into the rotation in late May. He has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 2.57 and 8 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Mets in his career.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 69-39 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.69 runs per game. They're batting for .256 AVG, 483 runs scored in 897 hits and 104 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league tied with the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .302 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 28 home runs and 88 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.74 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Jacob deGrom (0-0, 1.80 ERA)

DeGrom will be on the mound in the 5th game of the series for the- Mets. DeGrom didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 5-1 loss to the Nationals, allowing one run on three hits while striking out six and walking none. He has a 9-7 record with an ERA of 1.96 and 201 strikeouts in 25 appearances against the Braves in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 10 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets' last 7 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Mets' last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta.

Prediction

The Mets offense exploded in the 3rd and 4th game of the series scoring 8 and 6 runs to beat the Braves. For this game they'll send Jacob DeGrom to the mound who had a great comeback against the Nats allowing only 1 run in 5 innings pitched. Spencer Strider will start for the Braves who's having a great season and has allowed 1 run in each of his last 2 starts. Expect a low scoring game as both pitchers should provide quality starts. Take the under.

PICK: Under 7 (-110)

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