Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 21 (7/21): MLB

Miami Marlins vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 21 (7/21): MLB

Credit: photo by  Gary Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Rangers money line +100
Rangers run line +1.5 (-200)
Marlins money line -125
Marlins run line -1.5 (+180)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Texas Rangers Miami Marlins
Record 41-49 43-48
Road / home record 20-23 22-22
Last 10 record 4-6 4-6
Streak L4 L3
Over / under record 42-41-7 43-45-3
Runs / game 4.51 4.08
Runs allowed / game 4.52 4.21

 

Preview

After the All-Star break, the Texas Rangers and the Miami Marlins will meet to play a 3-game series at the loanDepot park. The Rangers were swept by the Mariners in their last series before the break and the Marlins were swept by the Phillies.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers get here with a 41-49 record and have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.51 runs per game and they're batting for .239 AVG, have 406 runs scored in 731 hits and 117 home runs, ranking #11 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Corey Seage leads with 52 RBI and 22 home runs while Nathaniel Lowe is batting for .270 avg.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.52 runs per game and rank #21 in the league. Martin Perez leads the pitching staff with a 2.68 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Rangers.

Probable Pitcher:  Jon Gray (6-4, 3.71 ERA)

Gray will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Rangers. Gray earned the win over Oakland on Wednesday, allowing one hit and no walks while striking out nine batters over seven scoreless innings. He is 3-3 with an ERA of 4.19 and 45 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Marlins in his career.

Miami Marlins

The Marlins get here with a 43-48 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.08 runs per game. They're batting for .237 AVG, have 371 runs scored in 723 hits and 90 home runs, ranking #24 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Jazz Chisholm Jr leads with 14 home runs, 45 RBI. Garret Cooper is batting for an average of .283. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.2 runs per game and rank #12 in the league. Sandy Alcantara is leading the team with a 1.76 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher: 

Pablo Lopez (6-4, 2.86 ERA) will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Marlins. In Wednesday's 5-4 extra-inning victory over the Pirates, Lopez pitched five innings, giving up just one run on one hit, four walks, and three strikeouts. He did not factor in the decision.

BETTING TRENDS

Texas Rangers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas' last 9 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games played on a Thursday.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games played on a Thursday when at home.

Prediction

Both of these teams struggled offensively in their last series. The Marlins scored an average of only 1 run per game in a 4-game series vs Phillies while the Rangers scored 3 runs per game against the Mariners. Jon Gray will start for the Rangers and he has been a solid addition to Texas' staff this season, ranking second on the team with six wins while posting a 3.71 ERA and has good numbers against the Marlins in his career. Pablo Lopez will take the mound for the Marlins who has been really good in his last 2 starts allowing only 2 runs across 10 innings pitched. Expect a good performance from both starters so the best play for this game is the under.

PICK: Under 8 (-110)

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