Game Overview

Inter Milan will face Atalanta in the 2024 Italian Supercoppa Semifinal on January 2, 2025, at Al Awal Park in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Inter enters this match as the clear favorite, coming off a dominant run of form in both Serie A and the Coppa Italia. Atalanta, despite being competitive in recent weeks, will need to overcome a poor head-to-head record to advance to the final.

Betting Odds

Inter is the clear favorite with a moneyline of -150. Atalanta is a significant underdog at +270, while a draw is priced at +250. The total goals line is set at 2.5, with the over slightly favored at -125.

Team Analysis

Inter Milan

Inter Milan has been in sensational form, winning their last four matches across all competitions. They boast a strong attacking lineup led by Marcus Thuram (12 goals) and Lautaro Martínez (6 goals). Their defense, anchored by Alessandro Bastoni and Federico Dimarco, has kept opponents in check, conceding just two goals in their last five matches.

Inter’s dominance extends to their head-to-head record against Atalanta, winning all five of their last meetings, including two emphatic 4-0 victories in 2024. Their ability to control games and capitalize on chances makes them a tough opponent.

Atalanta

Atalanta enters this match on the back of mixed results, including a 1-1 draw with Lazio in their last outing. Their attack is led by Ademola Lookman (9 goals) and Mateo Retegui (12 goals), while their midfield is bolstered by Marten de Roon and Éderson.

However, Atalanta’s defense has been inconsistent, and their inability to contain Inter’s dynamic forwards in recent matches could be a deciding factor. Their 6-1 Coppa Italia win over Cesena was a highlight, but they will face a far sterner test against Inter.

Recent Performance

Inter Milan

• 12/28/24: Defeated Cagliari 3-0
• 12/23/24: Defeated Como 2-0
• 12/19/24: Defeated Udinese 2-0 (Coppa Italia)
• 12/16/24: Defeated Lazio 6-0
• 12/10/24: Lost to Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 (UEFA Champions League)

Atalanta

• 12/28/24: Drew with Lazio 1-1
• 12/22/24: Defeated Empoli 3-2
• 12/18/24: Defeated Cesena 6-1 (Coppa Italia)
• 12/14/24: Defeated Cagliari 1-0
• 12/10/24: Lost to Real Madrid 3-2 (UEFA Champions League)

Head-to-Head Matchup

Inter Milan has dominated this matchup in recent years, winning all five of their last meetings. Notably, they secured two 4-0 victories in 2024 Serie A matches. Atalanta has struggled to break down Inter’s well-organized defense and has been unable to cope with their pace and creativity in attack.

Betting Trends

• Inter Milan has won 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
• The over has hit in 3 of Inter’s last 5 matches.
• Atalanta has seen the over hit in 4 of their last 5 matches.
• Inter has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 meetings with Atalanta.

Prediction