Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 25 (9/25) NFL

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 25 (9/25) NFL

 

Odds

Time 1:00 p.m. EST
Chiefs money line -250
Chiefs spread -5.5 (-110)
Colts money line +210
Colts spread +5.5 (-110)
Over / under 50.5

 

2022 season stats

  Kansas City Chiefs Indianapolis Colts
Record 2-0 0-1-1
Road / home record 1-0 0-0
Points per game 35.5 10.0
Points allowed per game 22.5 22.0
O/U 0-2 2-0
Pass yards per game 297.5 273.5
Rush yards per game 110.5 115.5
Total yards per game 408.0 389.0
Total yards allowed per game 358.5 324.0

 

Preview

The Indianapolis Colts will host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday at the Lucas Oil Stadium. These teams haven't each other since 2019 season where the Colts beat the Chiefs 19-13 in Kansas but they had a bad start this season and haven't recorded a win yet. 

 

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs have shown very good offense so far as they beat the Cardinals and the Chargers in the first 2 weeks averaging 35.5 points per game.  Mahomes lost one of his best arms in Tyreek Hill who left to Miami but still Mahomes has 595 yards and 7 touchdowns completing 54 of 74 passes and no interceptions. Travis Kelce is leading the team in yards received with 172 in 13 receptions and 1 touchdown while Edwards-Helaire has 116 rushing yards in 15 carries.

The Chiefs defense allowed 326 passing yards and 75 rushing yds vs Chargers. They stopped them in 16 of 21 3rd downs attempts but couldn't stopped them in 4rd down attempts as the Chargers made it 4-4.

 

Indianapolis Colts

The Colts have been awful offensively as they were shoutout by the Jacksonville Jaguars 24-0. The team is averaging only 10 points per game and Matt Ryan has already 4 interceptions and only 1 touchdown in 547 yards completing 48 of 80 passes. Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing yards with 215 in 40 carries and 1 touchdown while Ashton Dulin has 125 yards in 9 receptions.

Defensively, they have been good against the run allowing only 86.5 points per game while allowing 237.5 passing yards but they stopped them in 15 of 21 3rd down attempts.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Kansas City are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games.

Kansas City are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games against Indianapolis.

Kansas City are 4-14 SU in their last 18 games against Indianapolis.

Indianapolis are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indianapolis' last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis' last 6 games against Kansas City.

 

Prediction

The Chiefs offense is looking good with Mahomes leading them for the first 2 victories of the season. The Colts played very poor offense against the Jags and will face a Chiefs defense that is holding their opponents to 22.5 points. The Colts are 0-1-1 and it's hard to trust them right now against a team that have their minds in the superbowl. Go with Mahomes and the Chiefs to win and a cover the spread.

PICK: Chiefs -5.5 (-110)

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