Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 7 (8/7): MLB

Cleveland Guardians vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 7 (8/7): MLB

Credit: photo by  Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 12:05 p.m. EST
Guardians money line +122
Guardians run line +1.5 (-135)
Astros money line -145
Astros run line -1.5 (+115)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Cleveland Guardians Houston Astros
Record 55-52 70-39
Home / road record 28-22 36-22
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 53-48-6 38-65-5
Runs / game 4.40 4.42
Runs allowed / game 4.27 3.34

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Cleveland Guardians will play the 4th game series at the Progressive Field on Sunday. The Guardians took the win 4-1 in the third game of the series.  Cal Quantrill tossed six scoreless innings and Amed Rosario had a two-run single.

Cleveland Guardians

The Guardians get here with a 55-52 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.40 runs and batting for .252 AVG, 453 runs scored in 885 hits and 82 home runs, ranking #16 in offense, behind the Houston Astros. Jose Ramirez leads the team batting for .285 avg, 21 home runs and 86 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.27 runs per game and ranking #15 in the league. Shane Bieber leads the pitching staff with a 3.39 ERA, 126 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded with the Guardians.

Probable Pitcher:

Triston McKenzie (7-8, 3.38 ERA) will be on the mound for the Guardians in the 4th game of the series. McKenzie took the loss Tuesday against Arizona, allowing five runs (four earned) on six hits and two walks while striking out seven in six innings. He is 1-1 with an ERA of 4.91 and 6 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 70-39 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. They're averaging 4.45 runs and batting for .240 AVG, 464 runs scored in 836 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #15 in offense in the league behind the San Diego Padres. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .303 avg with 30 home runs and 72 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.34 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.73 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 15 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:

Cristian Javier (6-7, 3.24 ERA) will be on the mound for the Astros in the 4th game of the series. Javier took the loss during Tuesday's 2-1 defeat at the hands of the Red Sox, allowing two runs on four hits and one walk with seven strikeouts in six innings. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 0.00 and 13 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Guardians in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston Astros are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 16 games against an opponent in the American League.

Cleveland are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games played on a Sunday.

Prediction

The Astros couldn't do much against Quantrill and the Guardians bullpen as they scored only 1 run in the 3rd game of the series. For they'll try to win this series by sending Cristian Javier to the mound who's having a good season and already beat the Guardians earlier this season holding them to zero runs across 5.2 innings pitched. Triston McKenzie will take the mound for the Guardians who has struggled in his last 2 starts but dominated the Astros the last time they met. The under is cashing big time for the Astros this season so the best play for this game is the under.

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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