Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 17 (8/17): MLB

Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 17 (8/17): MLB

Credit: photo by  Sam Greene/The Enquirer-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 12:35 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -163
Phillies run line -1.5 (+105)
Reds money line +137
Reds run line +1.5 (-125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Cincinnati Reds
Record 65-51 45-70
Road / home record 33-25 25-36
Last 10 record 7-3 3-7
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 56-54-6 58-55-2
Runs / game 4.65 4.20
Runs allowed / game 4.01 5.21

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 3rd game of the series at the Great American Ball Park on Wednesday. The Phillies outscored the Reds 11-4 in the second game of the series.  Rhys Hoskins homered twice and drove in five runs as the Philadelphia Phillies posted the 10,000th win in franchise history.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 65-51 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.65 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 524 runs scored in 938 hits and 148 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 69 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .293 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.01 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.63 ERA, 137 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Ranger Suarez (8-5, 3.52 ERA)

Suarez will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Philadelphia. Suarez yielded one run on three hits and two walks over seven innings in Friday's win over the Mets. He struck out four and did not factor in the decision. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 3.86 and 6 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Reds in his career.

 

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 45-70 record and have lost 7 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.20 runs. They're batting for .239 AVG, 466 runs scored in 868 hits and 104 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 51 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .248 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.21 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:     Nick Lodolo (3-4, 4.72 ERA)

Lodolo will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Reds. Lodolo took the loss against the Cubs on Thursday, giving up four runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out six batters over 4.2 innings. He hasn't pitched against the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati.

Philadelphia are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cincinnati's last 15 games.

Cincinnati Reds are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games.

Cincinnati Reds are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Phillies destroyed the Reds in the second game of the series scoring 11 runs while allowing 4. They'll try to sweep the Reds by sending Ranger Suarez to the mound who has been very solid lately allowing only 4 runs in the last 28.1 innings pitched. Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds who has been up and down this season and allowed 4 runs in his last start. It's always tough to sweep any team in the majors but I don't see how the Reds can win this game. I'm going with the Phillies again.

PICK: Phillies -1.5 (+105)

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