Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Credit: photo by Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:05 p.m. EST
Cubs money line -125
Cubs run line -1.5 (+135)
Reds money line +105
Reds run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  Chicago Cubs Cincinnati Reds
Record 29-46 26-48
Road / home record 14-26 14-25
Last 10 record 4-6 3-7
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 37-35-3 41-32-1
Runs / game 4.23 4.37
Runs allowed / game 5.30 5.40

 

Preview

The Chicago Cubs and the Cincinnati Reds will play the 3rd game of the series at the Wrigley Field on Thursday. The Cubs bounced back and beat the Reds 8-3 on Wednesday game, they're now 3-3 against them this season. Morel singled and scored in the fifth. He added a two-run homer deep into the left-field bleachers in the sixth. Steele allowed 1 run across 5 innning and earned the win.

Chicago Cubs

The Cubs get here with a 29-46 record and have won 3  their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.2 runs per game. They're batting for .245 AVG, 313 runs scored in 617 hits and 71 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Houston Astros. Patrick Wisdom is leading the team with 14 home runs and 37 RBI while Wilson Contreras has the better batting average with .280.

Defensively they are allowing 5.3 runs per game and rank #27 in the league. Keegan Thompson worked six innings and allowed four hits taking the loss against the Reds. He struck out seven and gave up one run. He leads the pitching staff with a 3.27 ERA, 48 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Cubs.

Probable Pitcher:

Kyle Hendricks (3-6, 4.90 ERA) will be on the mound for the Cubs in the 3rd game of the series. Hendricks pitched 7.1 scoreless innings against the Cardinals, allowing just five hits and one walk while striking out six. He has a record of 7-6 with an ERA of 4.47 and 113 strikeouts in 23 appearances versus the Reds in his career.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 26-48 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.37 runs while allowing 5.3 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 319 runs scored in 580 hits and 68 home runs, ranking #16 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Brandon Dury leads the team with 40 RBI and 16 home runs. Kyle Farmer is batting for .281 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.4 runs per game and rank #29 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.53 ERA, 97 strikeouts and 3 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher: 

Graham Ashcraft (4-1, 3.27 ERA) will take the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Reds. Ashcraft earned the win in Friday's 4-2 win over San Francisco, allowing two runs on six hits and striking out eight batters in eight innings. He hasn't pitched against the Chicago Cubs in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs.

Cincinnati Reds are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the National League.

Chicago Cubs are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chicago Cubs' last 12 games when playing as the favourite.

Prediction

The Cubs bounced back and took the win 8-3 in the second game of the series at Chicago. For this game, they'll send Kyle Hendricks to the mound who just pitched 7 scoreless innings in his last start vs the Cardinals but he has struggled against the Reds in his career as he allowed 4 runs in 4 innings the last time they met. The Reds will send Ashcraft to start this game and he has been decent this season as the Reds have won in 6 of his 7 starts so far. These teams have the worst bullpens in the league and are allowing more than 5 runs per game. I think both offenses will have success against these pitchers so I'll take the over.

PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)

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