Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 5 (9/5): MLB

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 5 (9/5): MLB

 

Odds

Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Orioles money line +144
Orioles run line +1.5 (-110)
Blue Jays money line -175
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (-110)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays
Record 71-62 73-59
Home / road record 39-25 35-30
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak L1 W3
Over / under record 58-70-5 66-63-3
Runs / game 4.23 4.66
Runs allowed / game 4.03 4.21

 

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Blue Jays swept the Pirates in the weekend series and the Orioles beat the Athletics 2 of 3 times. These teams have faced 9 times so far this season and the Orioles have the lead 6-3.

 

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 71-62 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.23 runs per game. They're batting for .236 AVG, 559 runs scored in 1049 hits and 142 home runs, ranking #20 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Anthony Santander leads the team with 25 home runs, 75 RBI and Cedric Mullins is batting for an average of .264.

Defensively they are allowing 4.03 runs per game and rank #10 in the league. Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 4.25 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Jordan Lyles (10-9, 4.25 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles in the 1st game of the series. Lyles earned the win after he pitched 6.2 innings, giving up four hits and three walks while striking out two versus the Guardians on Wednesday. He has a 3-1 record with an ERA of 6.67 and 15 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Blue Jays in his career.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 73-59 record and have won 5 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.66 runs per game and they're batting for .259 AVG, have 608 runs scored in 1161 hits and 159 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .285 ERA, 80 RBI and 27 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .302 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.21 runs per game and rank #15 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.48 ERA and 153 strikeouts recording 13 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Kevin Gausman (10-9, 3.14 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 1st game of the series. Gausman picked up the win in Tuesday's 5-3 victory over the Cubs, allowing two runs on five hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out nine. He has allowed 7 runs on 7 hits with 1 walk and 3 strikeouts in 2.1 innings against the Orioles in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Toronto are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Baltimore.

Toronto are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Baltimore's last 11 games.

Baltimore are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 11 games against Toronto.

 

Prediction

The Orioles have been playing great at home with a 39-25 record and 44-20 ATS. For this game they'll send Jordan Lyles to the mound who has been pretty solid lately allowing only 1 run in the last 13.1 innings pitched and the Orioles have beaten twice the Blue Jays this season with him on the mound. The Blue Jays will send Kevin Gausman who has been up and down this season and was pounded by the Orioles the last time. With that being said I think the play here is to go with the Orioles to cover the run line.

PICK: Orioles +1.5 (-110)

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