Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 20 (9/20) MLB

Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 20 (9/20) MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Braves money line -335
Braves run line -1.5 (-170)
Nationals money line +265
Nationals run line +1.5 (+145)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Washington Nationals
Record 92-55 51-96
Home / road record 51-25 27-46
Last 10 record 6-4 3-7
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 70-69-8 73-66-8
Runs / game 4.96 3.86
Runs allowed / game 3.80 5.30

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves will play the 2nd game of the series at the Truist Park on Tuesday. The Braves took the win 5-2 in the first game of the series and are 11-3 vs Nationals this season. Kyle Wright won his major league-leading 19th game, Austin Riley and Eddie Rosario homered.

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 92-55 record and have won 5 their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs per game. They're batting for .252 AVG, 716 runs scored in 1247 hits and 218 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 36 home runs and 91 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .280. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.52 ERA, 159 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Charlie Morton (8-6, 4.17 ERA)

Morton will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Braves. Morton got the loss after he pitched 5.1 innings, surrendering four runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven batters against the Giants on Wednesday. He has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.98 and 59 strikeouts in 14 appearances versus the Nationals in his career.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 51-96 record and have lost 7 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 3.86 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 561 runs scored in 1233 hits and 126 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 9 home runs and 23 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.30 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.14 ERA, 149 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Patrick Corbin (6-18, 6.11 ERA)

Corbin will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Nationals. Corbin did not factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing one run on four hits over six innings with four strikeouts against the Orioles. He has a 6-10 record with an ERA of 4.30 and 110 strikeouts in 20 appearances against the Braves in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Washington are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against Atlanta.

Washington are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Washington are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 19 games against Washington.

Atlanta are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Nationals have been awful on the road this season with a 27-46 record and have been dominated by the Braves as well, losing 10 of the last 11 playing in Atlanta. Patrick Corbin will start for the Nationals who was solid in his last start but has been pounded by the Braves this season. The Braves are 2 games behind the Mets so they'll play this series with everything they got. Charlie Morton has struggled this season and has allowed 4 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts but was effective vs Nationals. The Braves won't take the foot off the gas so expect them to dominate the Nats at home again but with low value on the run line I think the best play is the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110) 

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