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MLB Player Props Handicapping: Dodgers vs Astros 7/26

MLB Player Props Handicapping: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Houston Astros
Photo Credit: © D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports
Game Summary
The Los Angeles Dodgers will face off against the Houston Astros on July 26th at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. This matchup features two of the top teams in the league, with the Dodgers holding a 53-49 record and the Astros boasting a 62-42 record. The Dodgers are coming off a recent series win against the San Francisco Giants, while the Astros have shown dominance in their recent series against the Oakland Athletics.
The Dodgers have been solid this season, ranking 2nd in hits (916) and batting average (.261). However, their pitching has been somewhat inconsistent, with an ERA of 4.02 (17th in the league). On the other hand, the Astros have been exceptional, particularly in pitching, with an ERA of 3.75 (9th in the league) and 32 saves (5th in the league).
This game will feature an intriguing pitching matchup between Framber Valdez for the Astros and Gavin Stone for the Dodgers. Valdez has a record of 8-5 with a 3.63 ERA, while Stone has a record of 9-3 with a 3.19 ERA. Both pitchers have shown the ability to dominate on the mound, making this a must-watch game for baseball fans.
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Player Prop Odds
For this game, we will focus on the prop odds for Yordan Alvarez:
- Batter Doubles: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-525)
- Batter Home Runs: Over 0.5 (+320), Under 0.5 (-525)
- Batter RBIs: Over 0.5 (+145), Under 0.5 (-195)
- Batter Runs Scored: Over 0.5 (-105), Under 0.5 (-135)
- Batter Singles: Over 0.5 (+110), Under 0.5 (-145)
- Batter Total Bases: Over 1.5 (+105), Under 1.5 (-145)
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Player Analysis
Yordan Alvarez has been a force to be reckoned with this season, leading the Astros with a .312 batting average, 31 home runs, and 74 RBIs. His performance has been consistent throughout the season, making him a key player to watch in this matchup. Alvarez's power and ability to drive in runs make him a significant threat to any opposing pitcher.
Alvarez has shown the ability to perform well against both left and right-handed pitchers. His matchup against Gavin Stone, who has a 3.19 ERA and 79 strikeouts, will be an interesting one. Stone has been solid, but Alvarez's power and hitting ability could pose a challenge for the young pitcher.
Opposing Analysis
Gavin Stone, the probable starter for the Dodgers, has had a strong season with a 9-3 record and a 3.19 ERA. He has accumulated 79 strikeouts over 101.2 innings pitched, showing his ability to miss bats. However, he will be facing a potent Astros lineup that ranks 2nd in runs (510) and 5th in hits (888).
The Dodgers' bullpen will also play a crucial role in this game. With a team ERA of 4.02, they will need to be at their best to contain the Astros' hitters, including Alvarez. The Dodgers' relievers have shown inconsistency, and facing a strong offensive team like the Astros will be a significant test.
Pitching Probables
| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stone | 9-3 | 3.19 | 1.23 | 101.2 | 97 | 79 | 28 | 9 |
| F. Valdez | 8-5 | 3.63 | 1.28 | 104.0 | 97 | 88 | 36 | 9 |
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Team Previews
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have been impressive offensively, ranking 2nd in hits and batting average. Their pitching has been decent, but they will need to improve their consistency to compete against the Astros. The Dodgers' bullpen has shown flashes of brilliance but will need to step up in this crucial matchup.
Houston Astros
The Astros have been one of the best teams in the league this season. Their pitching staff, led by Framber Valdez, has been exceptional, ranking 9th in team ERA. Offensively, the Astros have been potent, ranking 2nd in runs and 5th in hits. Their balanced attack makes them a formidable opponent for any team.
Team Injuries
Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | LF | Thu, Jul 25 | Groin | Expected to be out until at least Aug 4 |
Houston Astros Injuries
| Player | Position | Updated | Injury | Injury Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Henley | SP | Wed, Jul 24 | Undisclosed | Expected to be out until at least Jul 29 |
| K. Tucker | RF | Wed, Jul 24 | Lower Leg | Expected to be out until at least Aug 9 |
Recent Games
Los Angeles Dodgers
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | vs Boston | W4-1 | 57-41 | Yarbrough 4-2 | Bernardino 3-3 | Hudson 5 | 51562 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | vs Boston | W7-6 F/11 | 58-41 | Treinen 3-2 | Weissert 2-2 | NaN | 48129 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | vs Boston | W9-6 | 59-41 | Paxton 8-2 | Crawford 6-8 | Hudson 6 | 50824 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | vs San Francisco | W3-2 | 60-41 | Treinen 4-2 | Miller 3-3 | Hudson 7 | 49576 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | vs San Francisco | W5-2 | 61-41 | Knack 2-2 | Hicks 4-7 | Phillips 15 | 52627 |
Houston Astros
| DATE | OPPONENT | RESULT | W-L | WIN | LOSS | SAVE | ATT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jul 19 | @ Seattle | W3-0 | 51-46 | Brown 8-6 | Castillo 8-10 | Hader 19 | 40948 |
| Sat, Jul 20 | @ Seattle | W4-2 | 52-46 | Scott 7-3 | Stanek 6-3 | Hader 20 | 38017 |
| Sun, Jul 21 | @ Seattle | L6-4 | 52-47 | Woo 4-1 | Blanco 9-5 | Munoz 16 | 35038 |
| Mon, Jul 22 | @ Oakland | L4-0 | 52-48 | Harris 2-3 | Arrighetti 4-8 | NaN | 4517 |
| Tue, Jul 23 | @ Oakland | L8-2 | 52-49 | Bido 2-1 | Bloss 0-1 | NaN | 5896 |
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Prediction
Given Yordan Alvarez's impressive performance this season and his favorable matchup against Gavin Stone, our pick is:
Pick: Over 1.5 total bases (+105)
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