Tampa Bay Bucaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 2 (10/2) NFL

Tampa Bay Bucaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 2 (10/2) NFL

 

Odds

Time 6:20 p.m. EST
Chiefs money line +105
Chiefs spread +1 (-110)
Bucaneers money line -125
Bucaneers spread -1 (-110)
Over / under 46.5

 

2022 season stats

  Kansas City Chiefs Tampa Bay Bucaneers
Record 2-1 2-1
Road / home record 1-1 0-1
Points per game 29.3 15.3
Points allowed per game 21.7 17.3
O/U 1-2 0-3
Pass yards per game 285.0 224.0
Rush yards per game 93.7 86.0
Total yards per game 378.5 310.5
Total yards allowed per game 340.5 309.0

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Bucaneers will host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night at the Raymond James Stadium. These teams faced each other last season and the Bucaneers dominated the game and beat the Chiefs 31-9 in Tampa.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs won their first 2 games of the season but lost in Week 3, 20-17 against the Colts. Patrick Mahomes has made 74 of 109 passes with 857 yards 8 touchdowns and 1 interception. Travis Kelce is leading the team in yards received with 230 in 17 receptions and 1 touchdown while Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 116 rushing yards in 22 carries and 1 touchdown.

The Defense limited the Colts to 259 total yards and a rushing average of 3.0 yards. They caused a few fumbles and sacked Matt Ryan five times for a total of 45 yards. Kansas City's defense currently ranks 9th in running yards (86.7 per game) and 15th in passing yards with 227.3 per game and are allowing 21.7 points per game.

 

Tampa Bay Bucaneers

The Bucaneers get here with a 2-1 record and lost their last game at home against the Packers 14-12. Tom Brady is not having the start he was expecting as he has made 67-103 passes for 673 yards and only 3 touchdowns. Mike Evans who's back from suspension leads the team with 132 yards received and 1 touchdown while Leonard Fournette has 227 yards in 57 carries.

The Buccaneers are conceding a league-low nine points per game, holding Dallas to a field goal in their 19-3 season-opening victory, and holding New Orleans to a touchdown in their 20-10 victory without allowing one until the fourth quarter. The team limited Green Bay to 14 last week while losing to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers by two points..

 

BETTING TRENDS

Kansas City are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Kansas City are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road.

Kansas City are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.

Tampa Bay are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games.

Tampa Bay are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Chiefs didn't look good in their last game as they scored scored only 17 points in the game vs Colts and have struggled against the Bucs losing 6 of the last 7 head to head games. The Bucs also have been strugglinig offensively but, after serving a one-game suspension for his part in an on-field altercation at New Orleans two weeks ago, Mike Evans is back in the lineup. Chris Godwin (hamstring) and Julio Jones (knee) were two of Brady's other top receivers who missed the previous two games due to injury are also back in the game so these guys will give a big boost to the Bucs offense so I'll take the Bucs to win at home. 

PICK: Bucaneers ML (-125)

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