Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 28 (7/28): MLB

Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 28 (7/28): MLB

Credit: photo by Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Mariners money line +117
Mariners run line +1.5 (-165)
Astros money line -140
Astros run line -1.5 (+140)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Seattle Mariners Houston Astros
Record 54-45 64-35
Home / road record 27-22 30-14
Last 10 record 7-3 6-4
Streak W2 L2
Over / under record 46-50-2 35-58-2
Runs / game 4.10 4.58
Runs allowed / game 3.78 3.39

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Seattle Mariners will play the 1st game of the series at the Minute Maid Park. The Mariners won their last series against the Rangers while the Astros lost the 3 games vs the Atheltics but are 9-6 vs Mariners this season. 

Seattle Mariners

The Mariners get here with a 54-45 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.10 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 393 runs scored in 755 hits and 106 home runs, ranking #23 in offense in the league, behind the Tampa Bay Rays. Eugenio Suarez leads with 51 RBI and 16 home runs and batting for .240 avg. Ty France has the best batting average with .306.

Defensively are allowing 3.78 runs per game, ranking #5 in the league. Logan Gilbert leads the team with 10 wins and pitching for a 2.77 ERA and 112 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Logan Gilbert (10-4, 2.77 ERA) will be on the mound for the Mariners in the 1st game of the series. Gilbert took the loss to the Astros on Saturday, allowing two runs on five hits while striking out eight and walking one over six innings. He has a 2-2 record with an ERA of 4.36 and 30 strikeouts in 6 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 64-35 record and have lost their last 3 games. They're averaging 4.43 runs and batting for .240 AVG, 421 runs scored in 755 hits and 134 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .307 avg with 28 home runs and 65 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.39 runs per game and ranking #3 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.86 ERA, 117 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:

Jose Urquidy (9-4, 3.93 ERA) will be on the mound for the Astros in the 1st game of the series. Urquidy earned the win over the Mariners on Friday by allowing one run on four hits and two walks while striking out three. He has a 2-3 record with an ERA of 5.50 and 23 strikeouts in 8 appearances versus the Mariners in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Seattle are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 12 games when playing at home against Seattle.

Houston are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the American League West Division division.

Prediction

The Mariners were on a 14 game winning streak but then were stopped by the Astros who beat them 3 straight times in Seattle, then the Mariners bounced back and sweep the Rangers but have to face the Astros again on the road. Logan Gilbert will start this game who has beat the Astros twice already this season allowing 3 runs in 13 innings pitched. The Astros will send Urquidy to the mound who dominated the Mariners the last time but was pounded by them before that. With the Astros coming from an awful series vs the A's I gotta go with the Mariners on this one as Gilbert has been very effective against them.

PICK: Mariners ML (+117)

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