Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 30 (6/30): MLB

Credit: photo by  Kyle Ross-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 6:05 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -150
Phillies run line -1.5 (+135)
Braves money line +126
Braves run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies Atlanta Braves
Record 39-37 44-32
Home / road record 19-19 20-15
Last 10 record 4-6 7-3
Streak L2 W2
Over / under record 42-31-2 39-33-3
Runs / game 4.73 4.72
Runs allowed / game 4.29 4.11

 

Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game of the series at the Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Braves beat the Phillies again 4-1 in the second game of the series.  Kyle Wright tossed seven sharp innings, allowing only 1 run. Adam Duvall homered , Matt Olson hit a pair of doubles and William Contreras and Michael Harris II also had RBI for the Braves.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 39-37 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .247 AVG, 355 runs scored in 630 hits and 93 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Bryce Harper leads the team with 48 RBI batting for .318 avg. Kyle Schwarber is leading in home runs with 22.

Defensively they are allowing 4.3 runs per game and rank #16 in the league. Zack Wheeler allowed three runs on five hits with eight strikeouts and a walk in 6 1/3 innings. He leads the team with a 2.89 ERA, 94 strikeouts and 6 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:

Aaron Nola (4-5, 2.98 ERA) will be on the mound for the Phillies in the 3rd game of the series. Nola took the loss in Friday's 1-0 loss to the Padres, allowing one run on seven hits and two walks while striking out ten batters in seven innings. He has a record of 13-8 with an ERA of 3.21 and 152 strikeouts in 26 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 44-32 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .247 AVG, 354 runs scored in 629 hits and 113 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Austin Riley is leading the team with 18 home runs and 43 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .295. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Kyle Wright allowed one run on three hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 7 innings against the Phillies. He leads the pitching staff with a 3.03 ERA, 96 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Braves.

Probable Pitcher:

Ian Anderson (6-4, 4.60 ERA) will be on the mound for the Braves in the 3rd game of the series. The Dodgers defeated Atlanta 4-1 on Friday, and Anderson was charged with the loss. He allowed four runs on six hits and four walks in more than four innings. He got six outs. He has a 1-0 record with an ERA of 3.07 and 26 strikeouts in 5 appearances versus the Phillies in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta Braves are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games against Atlanta.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 13 games at home.

Prediction

The Phillies continued to struggle offensively and couldn't do much against Kyle Wright in the second of the series. They'll try to avoid a sweep by sending Aaron Nola to the mound who has been outstanding allowing only 3 runs in his last 22 innings pitched and has dominated the Braves as well. The Braves are on a roll and have won 7 of their last 10 games and will send Ian Anderson to start this game. He has struggled lately allowing 8 runs in his last 3 starts. The Braves are still without Albies and Acuna Jr and I think they'll struggle against Nola while the Phillies should find success against Anderson. Take the Phillies to avoid the sweep.

PICK: Phillies ML (-150)

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