Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 20 (10/20): MLB

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 20 (10/20): MLB

Odds

Time 7:37 p.m. EST
Yankees money line +134
Yankees run line +1.5 (-170)
Astros money line -160
Astros run line -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  New York Yankees  Houston Astros
Record 102-66 110-56
Home / road record 43-41 58-26
Last 10 record 5-5 8-2
Streak L1 W6
Over / under record 77-85-6 61-94-11
Runs / game 4.98 4.55
Runs allowed / game 3.50 3.23

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the New York Yankees will meet again at the Minute Maid Park to play the 2nd game of the ALCS on Thursday. The Astros took the win 4-2 in Game 1 to take the lead on the series. Justin Verlander pitched 6 strong innings striking out 11.

 

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 102-66 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.98 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 807 runs scored in 1308 hits and 254 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 62 home runs and 131 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.50 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.50 ERA, 257 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Luis Severino (7-3, 3.18 ERA)

Severino will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Yankees. Severino allowed 3 runs on 8 hits across 5.2 innings pitched in the 6-5 loss vs Guardians. He is 2-3 with an ERA of 3.82 and 44 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 110-56 record and have won 8 of their last 9 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher: Framber Valdez (17-6, 2.82 ERA)

Valdez will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Astros. Valdez allowed only 2 runs in 5.2 innings helping the Astros to beat the Mariners in the 1st round of the playoffs. He has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 6.75 and 15 strikeouts in 3 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees' last 8 games.

NY Yankees are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games against Houston.

NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.

NY Yankees are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games.

Houston are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games against NY Yankees.

Houston are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Astros continue to dominate the Yankees at home as they have won the last 5 head to head games at the Minute Maid Park. Framber valdez will take the mound for this game who has been solid lately allowing only 2 runs in his last 10.2 innings pitched but allowed 3 runs the lasst time he faced the Yankees. Luis Severino will start for the Yanks who struggled in his last start and the Yankees have lost twice vs Astros this season with him on the mound. I think both offenses will hit these pitches and with the total set in 7 I like the over.

PICK: Over 7 (-110)

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