Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 1 (8/1): MLB

Houston Astros vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 1 (8/1): MLB

Credit: photo by Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 8:10 p.m. EST
Red Sox money line +156
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-135)
Astros money line -190
Astros run line -1.5 (+115)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Boston Red Sox Houston Astros
Record 51-52 67-36
Road / home record 25-25 33-15
Last 10 record 3-7 6-4
Streak W1 W1
Over / under record 46-48-9 37-60-5
Runs / game 4.52 4.49
Runs allowed / game 4.74 3.37

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Boston Red Sox will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Minute Maid Park. The Red Sox lost their last series vs Brewers while the Astros beat the Mariners 3 of 4 times but are 1-2 vs Red Sox this season.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 51-52 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.52 runs per game. They're batting for .255 AVG, 468 runs scored in 905 hits and 100 home runs, ranking #13 in offense in the league, behind the Colorado Rockies. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 22 home runs and 55 RBI, batting for .324 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.74 runs per game and rank #24 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.47 ERA and 114 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:

Nathan Eovaldi (4-3, 4.43 ERA) will be on the mound for the Red Sox in the 1st game of the series. On Wednesday against the Guardians, Eovaldi pitched six innings in a no-decision while giving up five runs (three earned), nine hits, no walks, and one strikeout. He has a 1-3 record with an ERA of 5.17 and 33 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 67-36 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. They're averaging 4.49 runs and batting for .240 AVG, 461 runs scored in 822 hits and 146 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .310 avg with 30 home runs and 70 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.37 runs per game and ranking #3 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.81 ERA, 122 strikeouts and 14 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:

Luis Garcia (8-6, 3.81 ERA) will be on the mound for the Astros in the 1st game of the series. In 5.2 innings, Garcia (8-6) took the loss in Tuesday's game against the Athletics after giving up four runs on four hits, four walks, and seven strikeouts. He allowed 3 runs in 4 innings the last time he faced the Red Sox, taking the loss.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 13 of Boston's last 20 games.

Boston are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games against Boston.

Houston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.

Prediction

The Red Sox continue to struggle and have lost 7 of their last 10 games and 11 of their last 14 games against American League opponents. Eovaldi will take the mound who has struggled lately and was pounded by the Astros earlier this season. The Astros are one of the best teams in the league are playing great at home. They'll send Luis Garcia to the mound who has been up and down this season and already lost vs Red Sox. In the last 10 head to head games they have averaged 11.6 runs combined and the over is 7-3 so I think the best play for this game is the over.

PICK: Over 8.5 (-110)

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