Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 11 (11/11): NBA

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 11 (11/11): NBA

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Nuggets money line +165
Nuggets spread +4.5 (-110)
Celtics money line -195
Celtics spread -4.5 (-110)
Over / under 231.5

 

2022-2023 season stats

  Denver Nuggets Boston Celtics
Record 8-3 8-3
Home  / road  record 4-3 4-1
Streak W4 W4
Points per game 116.00 117.78
Points allowed per game 113.22 114.00
Rebounds per game 45.89 41.00
Rebounds allowed per game 41.89 44.56
Over / under record 6-5 7-4
 

Preview

The Boston Celtics continue at home and will host the Denver Nuggets at the TD Garden on Friday night. These teams faced each other twice last season and the Celtics beat the Nuggets both times but were 1-1 ATS.

 

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets get here with a 8-3 record after beating the Pacers 122-119 on the road. Limited by foul trouble, Jokic scored 24 points in 21 minutes and helped the Denver Nuggets overcome an 18-point deficit in the second half.  Aaron Gordon had 18 points and tied his career high with 17 rebounds and Jamal Murray also scored 18 points.

Nikola Jokic leads the team scoring 21 points per game, 9.0 assists and averaging 9.9 rebounds per game for the Nuggets. 

In their last 10 games, the Nuggets are 8-2, averaging 118.4 points, 43.2 rebounds, 30.1 assists, 6.2 steals and 3.6 blocks per game while shooting 51.9% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 113.5 points per game.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics get here with a 8-3 record overall and are 4-1 at home ranking 1st in the Atlantic division. In their last game at home they beat the Detroit Pistons 128-112.  Jayson Tatum had 31 points and five assists. Jaylen Brown had 30 points and seven rebounds. Sam Hauser added a career-high 24 points off the bench for Boston, which hasn’t scored fewer than 109 points in each of its wins this season.

Jayson Tatum leads the team with 31.3 points, 6.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists for the Celtics while Marcus Smart is averaging 7 assists per game.

In their last 10 games, the Celtics are 7-3, averaging 118.0 points, 43.0 rebounds, 29.2 assists, 7.3 steals and 5.5 blocks per game while shooting 52.0% from the field. Their opponents have averaged 113.3 points.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Denver are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Boston.

Denver are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Boston.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road.

Denver are 2-10 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston.

Boston are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games.

Boston are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games against Denver.

 

Prediction

The Nuggets have been playing great so far this season as they have lost only 3 games and have won 6 of their last 7 games but they have struggled against the Celtics losing the last 5 head to head games. The Celtics have won 5 of their last 6 games and are 10-2 in the last 12 games at home vs Nuggets. The Nuggets have had a much easier schedule than the Celtics and it's hard to go against Boston at home so I'll go with the Celtics to win and cover the spread. 

PICK: Celtics -4.5 (-110)

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