Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 1 (10/1) NCAAF

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 1 (10/1) NCAAF

 

Odds

Time 3:30 p.m. EST
Alabama money line -850
Alabama spread -17 (-105)
Arkansas money line +550
Arkansas spread +17 (-115)
Over / under 61

 

2022 season stats

  Alabama Crimson Tide Arkansas Razorbacks
Record 4-0 3-1
Road / home record 1-0 3-0
O/U 1-3 3-1
Points per game 48.0 33.5
Points allowed per game 7.0 26.0
Pass yards per game 282.0 235.3
Rush yards per game 235.0 243.3
Total yards per game 517.0 479.7
Total yards allowed per game 201.0 401.0

Preview

The #20 Arkansas Razorbacks will host the #2 Alabama Crimson Tide at the Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium on Saturday. These teams have faced each other over the last 10 seasons and Alabama has dominated Arkansas but last year was a close game in Alabama where the Crimson Tide took the win 42-35 failing to cover the spread as -20.5 pts favorites

 

Alabama Crimson Tide

The Crimson Tide get here with a 4-0 record after destroying the Vanderbilt Commodores 55-3 at home. Bryce Young was 25 of 36 for 385 yards passing and 4 touchdowns. Ja Corey Brooks had two touchdowns catches and 117 yds for the Crimson Tide and Jase McClellan ran for 78 yards in 11 carries and 1 touchdown. This offense has been one of the best in the Nation and are currently ranking #6 with 48 points per game. Young is #37 in the country with 1,029 yards so far.

Defensively, they're also doing a great job allowing only 7 points per game, 138 passing yards and 62 rushing yards, ranking 3rd in the country.  

 

Arkansas Razorbacks

The Razorbacks are 3-1 so far this season after losing against the Texas A&M Aggies 21-23 last Saturday.  Raheim Sanders has been doing a great job. He has 83 carries for 508 yards (6.1 yards per carry), three rushing touchdowns, and eight receptions for 117 yards (14.6 yards per catch), as well as a touchdown reception in the air. Sanders had 17 carries for 68 yards last week against the Texas A&M Aggies in his previous game.

Defensively, the Razorbacks gave up 23 points on 343 yards of offense (151 passing, 192 rushing). They did a fantastic job of limiting the Aggies' third-down attempts, as they were 4-of-12.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Alabama are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games.

Alabama are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games against Arkansas.

Alabama are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games on the road.

Alabama are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Arkansas.

Arkansas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.

Arkansas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

Arkansas are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Crimson Tide have been insane in their last 2 games but they have played soft teams like the Commodores and the Warhawks. However, their defense is ridiculous and is allowing 7 points per game while the Razorbacks have struggled in defense and will face one of the top offenses in the country and will be dominated by the Alabama defense as well. Go with the Crimson Tide to win and cover the spread.  

PICK: Alabama -17 (-110)

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