Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 28 (9/28): MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:07 p.m. EST
Blue Jays money line +105
Blue Jays run line +1.5 (-160)
Yankees money line -125
Yankees run line -1.5 (+135)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Toronto Blue Jays  New York Yankees
Record 87-68 95-59
Home / road record 44-33 39-37
Last 10 record 5-5 8-2
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 78-73-4 73-76-5
Runs / game 4.76 5.07
Runs allowed / game 4.27 3.58

 

Preview

The New York Yankees and the Toronto Blue Jays will play the 3rd game of the series at the Rogers Centre on Wednesday. The Yankees took the win 5-2 in the second game of the series and the bombers clinched the AL East Title.

 

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 87-68 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.76 runs per game and they're batting for .259 AVG, have 608 runs scored in 1161 hits and 159 home runs, ranking #5 in offense in the league behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .285 ERA, 80 RBI and 27 home runs. Alejandro Kirk is batting for .302 AVG.

Defensively as they are allowing 4.27 runs per game and rank #15 in the league. All-Star Alek Manoah leads the team with a 2.48 ERA and 153 strikeouts recording 13 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:  Mitch White (1-6, 5.12 ERA)

White will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Toronto. Following his call-up from Triple-A Buffalo on Friday, White took the hill later that day against the Rays and took a no-decision in a 10-6 loss while allowing three earned runs on on five hits and one walk over four innings. He allowed 1 run in 4 innings pitched earlier this season vs Yankees.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 95-59 record and have won 8 of their last 9 games. The team is averaging 5.07 runs per game. They're batting for .241 AVG, 756 runs scored in 1209 hits and 237 home runs, ranking #2 in offense in the league, behind the LA Dodgers. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .315 with 60 home runs and 128 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.58 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.49 ERA, 140 strikeouts and 13 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Gerrit Cole (12-7, 3.49 ERA)

Cole will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Yankees. After striking out J.D. Martinez to end the top of the sixth inning, Cole argued with the home plate umpire over a perceived missed call that led directly to a three-run home run by Alex Verdugo. He has a 5-2 record with an ERA of 3.70 and 70 strikeouts in 11 appearances versus the Blue Jays in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Yankees' last 19 games.

NY Yankees are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.

NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against Toronto.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of NY Yankees' last 20 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games against NY Yankees.

Toronto are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.

 

Prediction

The Yankees bounced back and took the win to clinched the AL East title but Aaron Judge is still in the fight for his personal home run record. Gerrit Cole will start for the Yankees who has struggled lately allowing 4 runs in each of his last 3 starts. Mitch White will be called to start this game and he has struggled with the Blue Jays allowin 21 runs in the last 16 innings pitched. The total has been set too low in my opinion which tells me the oddsmakers are expecting a strong performance from these pitchers so I'm gonna go with the Yankees to take this series. 

PICK: Yankees ML (-125)

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