Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 12 (7/12): MLB

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 12 (7/12): MLB

Credit: photo by Allan Jung/Telegram & Gazette-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Rays money line -105
Rays run line +1.5 (-165)
Red Sox money line -115
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+140)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays  Boston Red Sox
Record 46-40 47-40
Home / road record 26-17 24-20
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 40-42-4 37-41-9
Runs / game 4.11 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.83 4.15

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays will play the 2nd game of the series at the Tropicana Field on Tuesday. The Rays outscored the Red Sox 10-5 in the first game of the series. Yandy Díaz had three hits, scored three times and drove in three runs.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 46-40 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 350 runs scored in 680 hits and 80 home runs, ranking #22 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Isaac Paredes leads the team in home runs with 13 while Yandy Diaz is batting for .299 and Randy Arozarena is leading in RBI's with 40.

Defensively they are allowing 3.8 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Shane McClanahan leads the pitching staff with a 1.73 ERA, 141 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:  Corey Kluber (4-5, 3.62 ERA)

Kluber will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Tampa Bay. On Wednesday, Kluber earned the victory against Boston, allowing no runs on three hits while striking out five and walking none over six innings. He has a record of 4-5 with an ERA of 4.26 and 78 strikeouts in 13 appearances against the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 47-40 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .261 AVG, 410 runs scored in 779 hits and 85 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league, behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 19 home runs and 51 RBI, batting for .327 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.15 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.08 ERA and 100 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Chris Sale (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Sale will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Red Sox. After missing the first half of the season due to a stress fracture in his rib cage, Sale is now finally fit to play. In his final rehab start, he struggled, walking five hitters in 3.2 innings of work, but the Red Sox still decided he was ready to start the season. Early on in his recovery, anticipate some constraints on his workload. He has a record of 10-6 with an ERA of 2.93, 188 strikeouts and 1 save in 22 appearances versus the Rays in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

Boston are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the American League East Division division.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games against Boston.

Tampa Bay Rays are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Prediction

The Rays pounded again the rookie Brayan Bello and outscored the Red Sox 10-5 in the first game of the series but they'll face Chris Sale who's back with the team after missing first half of the season. Sale has dominated the Rays in his career holding a 2.93 ERA against them. The Rays will send Kluber to the mound who held the Red Sox to zero runs across 6 innings earlier in the season. Sale should pitch around 4 innings so it won't be enough to stop the Rays. Take Tampa Bay to win again.

PICK: Rays ML (-105)

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