Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 11 (7/11): MLB

Credit: photo by David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:10 p.m. EST
Rays money line +100
Rays run line +1.5 (-170)
Red Sox money line -120
Red Sox run line -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Tampa Bay Rays  Boston Red Sox
Record 45-40 47-39
Home / road record 25-17 24-19
Last 10 record 5-5 4-6
Streak L3 W2
Over / under record 39-42-4 36-41-9
Runs / game 4.11 4.69
Runs allowed / game 3.83 4.15

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Tampa Bay Rays will meet again to play a 4-game series at the Tropicana Field. The Rays lost their last series against the Reds while the Red Sox tied 2-2 vs the New York Yankees. The Rays are 4-2 against Boston this season.

Tampa Bay Rays

The Rays get here with a 61-23 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 350 runs scored in 680 hits and 80 home runs, ranking #22 in offense in the league behind the Cincinnati Reds. Isaac Paredes leads the team in home runs with 13 while Yandy Diaz is batting for .299 and Randy Arozarena is leading in RBI's with 40.

Defensively they are allowing 3.8 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Shane McClanahan leads the pitching staff with a 1.73 ERA, 141 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Rays.

Probable Pitcher:  Matt Wisler (2-3, 2.58 ERA)

Wisler will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Tampa Bay. Wisler started Thursday's 4-1 loss in Toronto, striking out one and walking one. He did not factor in the decision. He hasn't pitched vs Red Sox since 2015 where he allowed 5 runs in 5 innings.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 45-39 record and have lost 6 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .261 AVG, 410 runs scored in 779 hits and 85 home runs, ranking #6 in offense in the league, behind the Philadelphia Phillies. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 19 home runs and 51 RBI, batting for .327 AVG while Trevor Story leads in RBI's with 58. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.15 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 8 wins recorded with a 4.08 ERA and 100 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Brayan Bello (0-1, 9.00 ERA)

Bello will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the A's. Bello made his major league debut on Wednesday against Tampa Bay and went four innings, giving up four runs on six hits, three walks, and three strikeouts.

BETTING TRENDS

Boston Red Sox are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay Rays are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games against Boston.

Prediction

The Red Sox have been on fire offensively as they have scored 6.75 runs per game in their last 4 games but are 2-4 against the Rays this season. They'll give another chance to the rookie Brayan Bello who struggled against the Rays in his debut but has been outstanding in the minors so I expect him to have more control on this game. The Rays were swept by the Reds in their last series and will go with the bullpen for this game. With the Rays allowing 3.8 runs per game I think this game will have a low score so go with the under.

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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