Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 2 (5/2): NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 2 (5/2): NHL

Credit: photo by Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Lightning money line +105
Lightning spread +1.5 (-220)
Maple Leafs money line -125
Maple Leafs spread -1.5 (+180)
Over / under 6.5
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Toronto Maple Leafs
Record 51-23-8 54-21-7
Road / home record 24-15-2 31-8-2
Streak W1 W3
Goals per game 3.48 3.80
Goals allowed per game 2.78 3.07
Shots per game 30.9 34.6
Shots allowed per game 29.8 30.6
PP % 23.9% 27.30%
PK % 19.05% 17.60%
Over / under record 36-40-6 39-39-4

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs will meet at at the Scotiabank Arena in Toronto to play Game 1 of the playoffs 1st round in the East. This is the fourth time these teams face off this season, they tied 2-2 in the regular season.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 24-17 on the road with a 51-23-8 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 15-8-3 against division opponents. Tampa Bay is third in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.4 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 42.

Stamkos leads the Lightning with 64 total assists and has 106 points. Nikita Kucherov has ten goals over the last 10 games for Tampa Bay.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 7-3, averaging 4.8 goals, 6.6 assists, 4.7 penalties and 13.3 penalty minutes while allowing 2.9 goals per game with a .908 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 games and are 31-10 at home this season. They have a 54-21-7 record overall ranking second in the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are 16-8-2 against division opponents and 34-12-4 in conference games.

Matthews leads the Maple Leafs with 106 points, scoring 60 goals and collecting 46 assists. Mitchell Marner has 62 for Toronto.

In their last 10 games Toronto are 7-3, averaging 3.7 goals, 7.1 assists, 5.2 penalties and 14.8 penalty minutes while allowing 3.2 goals per game with an .879 save percentage.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games.

Tampa Bay are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games against Tampa Bay.

Toronto are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Lightning offense is on fire and scoring almost 5 goals per game in their last 10 games and they outscored Toronto 8-1 the last time they faced them. The Maple Leafs are winning the 75% of the time at home this season but tare only 3-7 in their last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay. With that being said I like Tampa Bay and the plus money.

PICK: Lightning ML (+105)

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