Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 17 (5/17): NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Prediction, Pick and Preview, May 17 (5/17): NHL

Credit: photo by Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Lightning money line +140
Lightning spread +1.5 (-170)
Panthers money line -160
Panthers spread -1.5 (+145)
Over / under 6.5
 

2021-2022 season stats

  Tampa Bay Lightning Florida Panthers
Record 55-34 62-26
Home / Road record 26-19 34-7
Streak W2 W3
Goals per game 3.48 4.11
Goals allowed per game 2.78 2.95
Shots per game 30.9 37.3
Shots allowed per game 29.8 30.6
PP % 23.9% 24.30%
PK % 19.05% 17.60%
Over / under record 49-38-2 49-33-6

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning and the Florida Panthers will meet at the Scotiabank Arena in Florida to play the Game 1 of the playoffs 2nd round in the East. The Lightning beat the Maple Leafs in 7 games while the Panthers beat the Capitals in 6.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Lightning have won 3 of the last 5 games and are 26-19 on the road with a 55-34 record overall ranking 3rd in the Atlantic Division. The Lightning are 29-15-5 against eastern conference rivals. Tampa Bay is third in the Eastern Conference averaging 3.4 goals per game, led by Steven Stamkos with 42.

Victor Hedman has 20 goals and 65 assists for the Lightning. Steven Stamkos has 10 goals and 11 assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Lightning are 6-4 averaging 3.5 goals, 8.3 assists, 6.8 penalties and 19.9 penalty minutes while giving up 3.4 goals per game..

Florida Panthers

The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5 games and are 34-7 at home this season, with a 62-20-6 record overall ranking 1st in the Atlantic Division. The Panthers are 40-15 in Eastern Conference games. Florida leads the Eastern Conference shooting 11.1% and averaging 4.1 goals on 37.6 shots per game.

Aleksander Barkov has scored 39 goals with 49 assists for the Panthers. Aleksander Barkov Jr. has six goals and two assists over the past 10 games.

In their last 10 games the Panthers are 5-5, averaging 3.2 goals, 5.3 assists, 5.4 penalties and 15.5 penalty minutes while giving up 4.1 goals per game.

BETTING TRENDS

Tampa Bay are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win.

The over is 18-6 in Lightning last 24 overall.

The over is 20-8-4 in Panthers last 32 home games.

Florida are 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Prediction

These teams faced 4 times in the regular season and tied 2-2 and they scored 12 goals in each of the 2 games played in Florida. The total went over in 5 of the 7 games in the 1st round series for the Lightning. I think Florida wins in Game 1 but the play is the over.

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110)

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