Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 3 (7/3): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 3 (7/3): MLB

Credit: photo by Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:35 p.m. EST
Pirates money line +140
Pirates run line +1.5 (-120)
Brewers money line -170
Brewers run line -1.5 (+100)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Pittsburgh Pirates  Milwaukee Brewers
Record 32-46 45-35
Home / home record 19-21 26-20
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 34-38-6 41-34-5
Runs / game 3.59 4.43
Runs allowed / game 4.97 4.17

 

Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play the 4th game of series at the PNC Park on Sunday. The Pirates bounced back and took the win 7-4 on Saturday game and have the lead 2-1 on the series but are 2-7 against the Brewers this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 32-46 record and have lost 6 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.6 runs per game. They're batting for .220 AVG, 274 runs scored in 539 hits and 79 home runs, ranking #28 in offense in the league behind the Kansas City Royals. Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting for .262 AVG and has 21 RBI. Bryan Reynolds leads in home runs with 15 and 31 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5 runs per game and ranking #25 in the league. JT Brubaker pitched six innings, allowing four runs and seven hits. He leads the pitching staff with a 4.28 ERA, 82 strikeouts and 2 win with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher: Jose Quintana (1-4, 3.43 ERA)

Quintana will take the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Pirates. Quintana allowed one run on four hits and two walks over six innings in a 3-1 loss to Washington on Tuesday. He had six strikeouts and did not factor in the decision. He is 9-4 with an ERA of 2.74 and 107 strikeouts in 19 appearances versus the Brewers in his career.

Milwaukee Brewers

The Brewers get here with a 45-35 record and have won 5 of their last 7 games. They're averaging 4.4 runs while allowing 4.1 runs per game. They're batting for .235 AVG, 337 runs scored in 592 hits and 101 home runs, ranking #14 in offense in the league behind the Texas Rangers. Willy Adames leads the team with 16 home runs and 45 RBI while Rowdy Tellez is batting for a .250 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and ranking #12 in the league. Corbin Burnes allowed 1 run across 6 innings pitched recording the win against the Pirates. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.36 ERA, 124 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded with the Brewers.

Probable Pitcher:  Brandon Woodruff (6-3, 4.44 ERA)

Woodruff will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Brewers. Tuesday at Tampa Bay, Woodruff grabbed the victory by striking out 10 batters in five innings while giving up just one run on two hits. He has a 5-2 record with an ERA of 4.11 and 68 strikeouts in 12 appearances versus the Pirates in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road.

Milwaukee Brewers are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games against Milwaukee.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Pirates bounced back and beat the Brewers to take the lead on the series and they'll now send Jose Quitana to the mound who has been up and down this season but has been effective against the Brewers ni his career. The Brewers have a good record on the road and are 7-2 against the Pirates this season. Woodruff hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in each of his last 4 starts so expect the Pirates offense to struggle on this game. This should be a close one and I think the best play is the under. 

PICK: Under 7.5 (-110)

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