Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 21 (8/21): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 21 (8/21): MLB

Credit: photo by John Jones-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:35 p.m. EST
Phillies money line -140
Phillies run line -1.5 (+155)
Mets money line +118
Mets run line +1.5 (-175)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  New York Mets
Record 66-54 78-44
Home / road record 33-28 38-25
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak W1 L1
Over / under record 58-55-6 62-52-7
Runs / game 4.62 4.76
Runs allowed / game 3.99 3.76

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies will play the 4th game of the series at the Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. The Phillies bounced back and took the win 4-1 in the third game of the series.  Bailey Falter threw six innings of two-hit ball and Kyle Schwarber tripled and doubled.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 66-54 record and have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.65 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 541 runs scored in 995 hits and 153 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 34 home runs and 69 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .288 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 3.99 runs per game and rank #9 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.92 ERA, 142 strikeouts and 11 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Gibson (8-5, 4.30 ERA)

Gibson will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for Philadelphia. Gibson earned the victory Tuesday in Cincinnati, striking out 11 in six innings while allowing three runs on six hits. He has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.96 and 30 strikeouts in 7 appearances against the Mets in his career.

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 78-44 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 562 runs scored in 1035 hits and 120 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .315 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 99 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.76 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.27 ERA, 134 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Jose Butto (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Butto will be on the mound in the 4th game of the series for the Mets. Butto was only recently promoted to Triple-A Syracuse, and his second start with the club was cut short in anticipation that he may be needed in the majors. He has spent the majority of the season with Double-A Binghamton, where he posted a 4.00 ERA and 1.31 WHIP across 92.1 frames.

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games against Philadelphia.

NY Mets are 12-7 SU in their last 19 games on the road.

NY Mets are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games.

Philadelphia are 15-6 SU in their last 21 games.

Philadelphia are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games at home.

Prediction

The Phillies bounced back and beat the Mets in the 3rd game of the series will try to tie this series by sending Kyle Gibson to the mound who has been good lately and the Phillies have won in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Mets will call Jose Butto to make his debut and with a 4.00 ERA in the minors I don't expect much success from him against the Phillies who will get him early in the game while Gibson has dominated the Mets this season allowing 2 runs across 10 innings pitched. Go with the Phillies.

PICK: Phillies ML (-140) 

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