Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 29 (8/29): MLB

Minnesota Twins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 29 (8/29): MLB

Credit: photo by  Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:40 p.m. EST
Twins money line -135
Twins run line -1.5 (+135)
Red Sox money line +113
Red Sox run line +1.5 (-160)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Minnesota Twins  Boston Red Sox
Record 65-61 62-66
Home / road record 38-28 31-34
Last 10 record 4-6 3-7
Streak W3 L1
Over / under record 58-58-10 58-60-10
Runs / game 4.38 4.50
Runs allowed / game 4.17 4.82

 

Preview

The Boston Red Sox and the Minnesota Twins will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Target Field. The Red Sox won their lasst series against the Rays while the Twins swept the Giants and are 2-2 vs Red Sox this season.

 

Minnesota Twins

The Twins get here with a 65-61 record and have lost 6 of their last 9 games. They're averaging 4.38 runs and batting for .249 AVG, 556 runs scored in 1058 hits and 149 home runs, ranking #15 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez is batting for .318 AVG. Byron Buxton leads with 51 RBI and 28 home runs.

Defensively they are allowing 4.17 runs per game and ranking #13 in the league. Joe Ryan leads the team with a 3.65 ERA, 113 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Twins.

Probable Pitcher:   Dylan Bundy (7-6, 4.56 ERA)

Bundy will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Minnesota. Bundy took the loss vs Houston on Wednesday. He pitched five innings and allowed two runs on three hits and one walk without notching a strikeout. He is 4-9 with an ERA of 5.36 and 72 strikeouts in 21 appearances versus the Red Sox in his career.

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox get here with a 62-66 record and have lost 5 of their last 7 games. The team is averaging 4.50 runs per game. They're batting for .257 AVG, 576 runs scored in 1137 hits and 122 home runs, ranking #11 in offense in the league, behind the Milwaukee Brewers. Rafael Devers is leading the team with 25 home runs and 65 RBI, batting for .306 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 4.82 runs per game and rank #25 in the league. Nick Pivetta leads the team with 9 wins recorded with a 4.40 ERA and 143 strikeouts.

Probable Pitcher:  Brayan Bello (0-3, 7.36 ERA)

Wacha will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Red Sox. With Nathan Eovaldi (shoulder) still out and Josh Winckowski being sent back to Triple-A Worcester, Bello will be making his second straight appearance in the rotation. Bello had the greatest outing of his young career in his return from the IL last Wednesday, striking out seven and allowing two earned runs while scattering six hits and a walk over five innings.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Boston are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against Minnesota.

Boston are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games on the road.

Boston are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games against Boston.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Red Sox have struggled lately as they have lost 7 of their last 10 games and allowing an average of 7 runs per game on that strecht. For this game they'll send Brayan Bello to the mound who's coming from his best start of the season. The Twins bounced back and swept the Giants in the weekend series and will send Dylan Bundy for this game who has been solid in his last 4 starts allowing 2 runs or less per game. The Twins get here in better form and have the more experienced pitcher so go with the Twins.

PICK: Twins ML (-135)

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