Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Expert NHL Prediction March 13, 2023

Maple Leafs vs Sabres: Expert NHL Prediction March 13, 2023

 

Odds

Time 7:30 p.m. EST
Maple Leafs money line -250
Maple Leafs spread -1.5 (-110)
Sabres  money line +222
Sabres spread +1.5 (-110)
Over / under 6.5

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Toronto Maple Leafs Buffalo Sabres
Record 40-17-8 32-28-5
Home / road record 24-6-4 19-10-2
Streak L1 W1
Goals per game 3.43 3.65
Goals allowed per game 2.66 3.62
Shots per game 31.3 34.7
Shots allowed per game 31.2 30.2
PP % 25.6% 29.10%
PK % 25.22% 20.80%
Over / under record 29-33-3 37-27-1
 

Preview

The Buffalo Sabres will take on the Toronto Maple Leafs in an exciting NHL clash on Monday night. The Sabres are on a four-game losing streak and will be eager to turn their fortunes around against a strong Maple Leafs team. The Maple Leafs, on the other hand, have been performing well and are second in the Atlantic Division with a record of 39-17-8. This game promises to be an exciting encounter between two talented teams. In this article, we will preview both teams, analyzing their performances, strengths, and weaknesses. Additionally, we will provide a final prediction for the game.

 

Toronto Maple Leafs

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been one of the most consistent teams in the NHL this season, and they have proved their quality with a record of 39-17-8. The Maple Leafs are currently in second place in the Atlantic Division and have been in excellent form in recent games, with a 7-3-0 record in their last ten games.

The Maple Leafs' offense has been their biggest strength this season, as they have been exceptional in front of the net. In their last ten games, they have averaged 3.7 goals and 5.9 assists per game, which is an impressive offensive output. John Tavares has been a key player for the Maple Leafs, with 28 goals and 34 assists this season, making him one of the top scorers in the NHL. Mitchell Marner has also been in great form, with five goals and 13 assists in his last ten games.

The Maple Leafs' defense has also been solid this season, conceding only 2.7 goals per game in their last ten games. Morgan Rielly has been a standout player on defense, with five goals and 31 assists this season, making him one of the most productive defensemen in the league.

One of the key reasons for the Maple Leafs' success this season has been their special teams play. They have been particularly effective on the power play this season, with a success rate of 21.3%, which ranks eighth in the NHL. They have also been solid on the penalty kill, ranking 12th in the NHL with a success rate of 81.6%.

The Maple Leafs will be confident of their chances against the struggling Sabres, and they will look to continue their excellent form in front of the net. With a strong offense and solid defense, they will be looking to dominate the game from the start.

In conclusion, the Toronto Maple Leafs have been one of the most consistent teams in the NHL this season, and they will be looking to continue their excellent form against the Buffalo Sabres. With a strong offense and solid defense, they will be confident of their chances, and they will look to dominate the game from the start.

 

Buffalo Sabres

The Buffalo Sabres have had a challenging season, struggling with consistency and currently ranking sixth in the Atlantic Division with a record of 32-28-5. They are currently on a four-game losing streak, and in their last ten games, they have a 4-5-1 record, averaging 3.4 goals and 4.9 assists per game. Their defense has been a major concern, conceding an average of four goals per game in the same period.

Despite their struggles, the Sabres have some standout players on offense, with Tage Thompson leading the way. Thompson has been one of the most productive players in the NHL this season, with 42 goals and 44 assists to his name. Jeff Skinner has also been in good form, with seven goals and five assists in his last ten games. However, the Sabres' defense has been a major concern this season, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game.

The Sabres' penalty kill has been average this season, ranking 17th in the NHL with a success rate of 80.9%. However, their penalty taking could be a potential weakness against the Maple Leafs, who have a potent power play. Additionally, the Sabres have a negative goal differential this season, with 235 goals allowed and 237 goals scored.

The Sabres will need to tighten up their defense if they want to compete with the high-scoring Maple Leafs. However, their standout offensive players could give them a chance to score against a Maple Leafs defense that has been susceptible at times this season. If the Sabres can improve their defensive play, they may be able to turn their fortunes around.

In conclusion, the Buffalo Sabres have had a difficult season, struggling with consistency and conceding a high number of goals. However, their standout offensive players give them a chance to compete with the Maple Leafs, and they will need to tighten up their defense to have any chance of winning. With an average penalty kill, their penalty taking could be a potential weakness against the potent Maple Leafs power play.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Buffalo's last 15 games.

Buffalo are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.

Buffalo are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games against Toronto.

Buffalo are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games on the road.

Buffalo are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.

oronto are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 15 of Toronto's last 20 games against Buffalo.

Toronto are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

Toronto are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against Buffalo.

 

Prediction

This game promises to be an exciting encounter between two talented teams. Both teams have strong offenses, and we could see a high-scoring game. The over of 6.5 goals looks like a good bet for this game.

The Maple Leafs have been performing well recently, and with a strong offense and solid defense, they will be confident of their chances against the Sabres. The Sabres, on the other hand, have been struggling with consistency and will need to improve their defense if they want to win this game.

Given the offensive firepower of both teams, we predict that this game will be a high-scoring affair, with both teams scoring multiple goals. The over of 6.5 goals looks like a good bet for this game. While the Maple Leafs are the favorites, the Sabres could surprise them if they can tighten up their defense and capitalize on their offensive opportunities.

In conclusion, the Buffalo Sabres will need to bring their A-game if they want to compete with the high-scoring Toronto Maple Leafs. While the Maple Leafs are the favorites, the Sabres have some standout offensive players who could make a difference in this game. With a potential for a high-scoring game, fans can expect an exciting encounter between these two talented teams.

 

PICK: Over 6.5 (-110) 

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