Flames vs Ducks: NHL Picks Experts, March 10, 2023

Flames vs Ducks: NHL Picks Experts, March 10, 2023

 

Odds

Time 9:00 p.m. EST
Flames money line -340
Flames spread -1.5 (-140)
Ducks  money line +297
Ducks spread +1.5 (+120)
Over / under 6

 

2021-2022 season stats

  Calgary Flames Anaheim Ducks
Record 29-23-13 21-35-9
Home / road record 15-13-3 10-19-7
Streak W2 L2
Goals per game 3.05 2.49
Goals allowed per game 3.07 4.03
Shots per game 31.3 34.7
Shots allowed per game 31.2 30.2
PP % 25.6% 29.10%
PK % 25.22% 20.80%
Over / under record 32-31-2 34-28-3
 

Preview

The Calgary Flames are set to host the Anaheim Ducks for a Pacific Division showdown on Friday night. Both teams have had their struggles this season, with the Ducks sitting in seventh place in the division and the Flames just ahead in fifth place. However, both teams will look to come out strong and secure a win in what should be an exciting matchup.

 

In this article, we'll take a closer look at both teams, their recent performances, key players, and make a prediction on why I expect this to be a high-scoring game.

 

Calgary Flames

The Calgary Flames come into this game with a record of 29-23-13, having won their last game against the Minnesota Wild in a shootout. The Flames have had a bit of a rollercoaster season, struggling with consistency at times but also showing flashes of brilliance. They currently sit just outside of a playoff spot and will be looking to secure a win against the struggling Ducks.

One area where the Flames have struggled this season is on defense. They have allowed an average of 3.10 goals per game, which ranks 24th in the league. However, they have been able to offset that with their strong offense, which is averaging 2.96 goals per game, good for 13th in the league.

Tyler Toffoli has been a standout player for the Flames this season, leading the team with 26 goals and 28 assists. Johnny Gaudreau and Elias Lindholm have also been key contributors on offense, each with 19 goals on the season.

In terms of special teams, the Flames have been solid on the penalty kill, ranking ninth in the league with an 82.3% success rate. However, their power play has been a weakness, ranking just 23rd in the league with a 17.9% success rate.

 

Anaheim Ducks

The Anaheim Ducks come into this game with a record of 21-35-8, having won four of their last ten games. The Ducks have had a tough season, sitting in seventh place in the Pacific Division and well out of playoff contention. However, they will be looking to play spoiler against the Flames and secure a win on the road.

One of the Ducks' strengths this season has been their offense, which is averaging 2.52 goals per game. They have had some key contributors in Troy Terry, who has five goals and one assist in his last ten games, and Cam Fowler, who has nine goals and 28 assists on the season.

However, the Ducks have struggled on defense, allowing an average of 3.24 goals per game, which ranks 27th in the league. They will need to tighten up defensively if they hope to compete with the Flames in this matchup.

On special teams, the Ducks have struggled on both the power play and penalty kill. They rank 29th in the league on the power play with a 13.9% success rate and 25th in the league on the penalty kill with a 77.2% success rate.

INJURIES: Adam Henrique: out (lower body), Urho Vaakanainen: out (lower-body), Jamie Drysdale: out (shoulder), John Moore: out (undisclosed), Anthony Stolarz: out (lower body).

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games.

Anaheim are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games.

Anaheim are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Calgary.

Anaheim are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary.

Anaheim are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games.

Calgary are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Calgary are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Calgary are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Calgary's last 12 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.

 

Prediction

Given the struggles both teams have had on defense this season, we predict that this matchup between the Flames and Ducks will be a high-scoring affair. The Flames have allowed an average of 3.10 goals per game, while the Ducks have allowed an average of 3.24 goals per game. Additionally, both teams have shown the ability to put up goals, with the Flames averaging 2.96 goals per game and the Ducks averaging 2.52 goals per game.

I also expect the over of 6 goals to cash in this matchup. While both teams have had their struggles this season, they have also shown the ability to score in bunches at times. The Flames have scored four or more goals in four of their last ten games, while the Ducks have scored three or more goals in six of their last ten games.

In terms of the key players to watch in this matchup, Tyler Toffoli will be a player to keep an eye on for the Flames. He has been a consistent scoring threat for the Flames this season and will be looking to add to his 26 goals and 28 assists. For the Ducks, Cam Fowler will be a player to watch. He leads the team in assists and has been a key contributor on offense from the blue line.

Overall, while both teams have had their struggles this season, this matchup between the Flames and Ducks has the potential to be a high-scoring affair. With both teams struggling on defense and showing the ability to score goals, we predict that the over of 6 goals will cash in this matchup.

 

PICK: Over 6 (-110) 

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