Atlanta Braves vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 4 (7/4): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 4 (7/4): MLB

Credit: photo by Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Cardinals money line +145
Cardinals run line +1.5 (-130)
Braves money line -177
Braves run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  St Louis Cardinals  Atlanta Braves
Record 44-37 46-34
Home / home record 20-21 24-17
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak L1 L1
Over / under record 40-37-4 41-36-3
Runs / game 4.73 4.73
Runs allowed / game 3.93 4.11

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves will host the St Louis Cardinals to play a 4-game series at the Truist Park. The Cardinals l,ost their last series against the Philadelphia Phillies while the Braves beat the Cincinnati Reds 2 of 3 times.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals get here with a 44-37 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs and and they're batting for .253 AVG, have 383 runs scored in 697 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Paul Goldschmidt leads the team with 19 home runs and batting for .341 AVG with 65 RBI so far.

Defensively they are allowing 3.9 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Miles Mikolas leads the pitching staff with a 2.61 ERA, 79 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Cards.

Probable Pitcher: Dakota Hudson (6-4, 3.83 ERA)

Hudson will take the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Cardinals. On Tuesday, Hudson earned the win in a 5-3 victory over the Marlins by allowing three earned runs on six hits, a walk, and three strikeouts over five innings. He has an ERA of 3.38 and 3 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 44-32 record and have won 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .248 AVG, 378 runs scored in 674 hits and 122 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Austin Riley is leading the team with 20 home runs and 48 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .301. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Kyle Wright allowed one run on three hits with four strikeouts and three walks in 7 innings against the Phillies. He leads the pitching staff with a 3.03 ERA, 96 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Braves.

Probable Pitcher:  Kyle Wright (9-4, 3.03 ERA)

Wright will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Braves. Wright took the win against the Phillies on Wednesday. Over seven innings, he allowed one run on three hits and three walks while striking out four batters. He hasn't pitched agains the Cards in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

St. Louis Cardinals are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of St. Louis' last 19 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against an opponent in the National League.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home.

Prediction

The Cardinals have struggled latety sa they have lost 2 of their last 3 series and will face one of the best teams in the National League and the current champions. The Braves have won 2 of their last 3 series and are playing good at home but are only 16-25 ATS in Atlanta. They'll send Kyle Wright to the mound who bounced back after 2 struggling starts to pitch 7 sharp innings allowing only 1 run vs Phillies. The Cardinals are sending Dakota Hudson to start this game who has had his up and downs this season but has been effective against the Braves. St Louis has been profitable ATS on the road with a 24-17 record. I think this a very even matchup and the Cards should keep it close enough to at least cover the run line.

PICK: Cardinals +1.5 (-130)

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