Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 3 (11/3): MLB

Philadelphia Phillies vs Houston Astros Prediction, Pick and Preview, November 3 (11/3): MLB

Odds

Time 8:03 p.m. EST
Phillies money line +134
Phillies run line +1.5 (-130)
Astros money line -160
Astros run line -1.5 (+110)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Philadelphia Phillies  Houston Astros
Record 98-79 115-58
Home / road record 53-35 55-31
Last 10 record 8-2 8-2
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 89-81-7 63-98-12
Runs / game 4.61 4.36
Runs allowed / game 4.20 4.05

 

Preview

The Houston Astros and the Philadelphia Phillies will meet again to play the Game 5 of the World Series at the Citizens Bank Park on Thursday. The Astros shoutout the Phillies 5-0 in Game 4 to tie the series 2-2. Cristian Javier and the Astros bullpen combined for a no-hitter to beat the Phillies.

 

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies get to this game with a 98-79 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.61 runs per game. They're batting for .253 AVG, 747 runs scored in 1392 hits and 205 home runs, ranking #7 in offense in the league behind the NY Mets. Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 46 home runs and 94 RBI while Alec Bohm is batting for .281 avg.

Defensively they are allowing 4.20 runs per game and rank #13 in the league. Zack Wheeler leads the team with a 2.82 ERA, 163 strikeouts and 12 wins recorded for the Phillies.

Probable Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (10-10, 3.94 ERA)

Syndergaard will be on the mound in the 5th game of the series for the Phillies. He has thrown 5.1 innings across three appearances this postseason, with his three innings Oct. 15 against Atlanta representing his postseason high. Syndergaard has given up one run on three hits and a walk while striking out four over that span. He is 1-0 with an ERA of 2.89 and 4 strikeouts in 2 appearances against the Astros in his career.

Houston Astros

The Astros get here with a 115-58 record and have won 8 of their last 10 games. They're averaging 4.55 runs and batting for .246 AVG, 737 runs scored in 1341 hits and 214 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Seattle Mariners. Yordan Alvarez leads the team batting for .304 avg with 37 home runs and 97 RBI. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.23 runs per game and ranking #2 in the league. Justin Verlander leads the pitching staff with a 1.75 ERA, 185 strikeouts and 18 wins recorded for the Astros.

Probable Pitcher:  Justin Verlander (18-4, 1.75 ERA)

Verlander will be on the mound in the 5th game of the series for the Astros. Verlander pitched five innings and did not factor into the decision Friday night in Game 1 of the World Series, allowing five runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five in a 6-5 loss to the Phillies.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Houston are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.

Houston are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Philadelphia.

Houston are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

Houston are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games.

Philadelphia are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games against an opponent in the American League West Division division.

 

Prediction

The Phillies cuoldn't do much against a great performance from Cristian Javier and the Astros bullpen as they held them to zero runs and hitless in the game but they'll now face Justin Verlander who struggled in Game 1 allowing 5 runs on 5 hits.  Noah Syndergaard will take the mound for this game who pitched only 3 innings in his last start in the playoffs vs Braves allowing 1 run and struggled against the Astros the last time he faced them. I expect both offenses to be active on this game so the over looks like the best play.

PICK: Over 7.5 (-110)

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