New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 10 (8/10): MLB

New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 10 (8/10): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:10 p.m. EST
Reds money line +240
Reds run line +1.5 (+130)
Mets money line -300
Mets run line -1.5 (-140)
Over / under 9

 

Key stats

  Cincinnati Reds  New York Mets
Record 44-65 72-39
Road / home record 20-33 37-18
Last 10 record 6-4 8-2
Streak L2 W5
Over / under record 55-53-1 57-47-7
Runs / game 4.31 4.80
Runs allowed / game 5.19 3.80

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Cincinnati Reds will play the 3rd game series at the Citi Field on Wednesday. The Mets took the win again 6-2 in the second game of the series.  Francisco Lindor and Jeff McNeil both homered and drove in two runs, leading Carlos Carrasco and the New York Mets to their 5th straight win.

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 44-65 record and have lost 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.31 runs. They're batting for .239 AVG, 461 runs scored in 845 hits and 103 home runs, ranking #17 in offense in the league behind the Cleveland Guardians. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 51 RBI, 6 home runs and batting for .248 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.19 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Tyler Mahle leads the pitching staff with a 4.40 ERA, 114 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  T.J. Zeuch (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Zeuch will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Cincinnati. Zeuch signed a minor-league contract with the Reds in early June and has posted a 3.63 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 22.1 innings over five starts at Louisville. 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 72-39 record and have won 7 of their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 523 runs scored in 963 hits and 111 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Toronto Blue Jays. Jeff McNeil is batting for .304 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 95 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 8 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:   Taijuan Walker (9-3, 3.45 ERA)

Walker will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. Walker allowed eight runs on seven hits while taking the loss against Atlanta on Friday. He pitched one inning and failed to record a strikeout. He has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 6.55 and 13 strikeouts in 2 appearances versus the Reds in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

Cincinnati are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games against NY Mets.

NY Mets are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.

NY Mets are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Mets continue to be great at home as they have won 9 of their last 10 games there and the Reds continue to struggle against them. Taijuan Walker will take the mound on this game who just got rocked by the Braves with 8 runs in his last start and allowed 3 runs the last time he faced the Reds. T.J. Zeuch will start for the Reds who hasn't pitched this season in the majors and hasn't faced the Mets in his career. I think the Mets will win again but with Walker recent struggles I think the best play is the over.  

PICK: Over 9 (-110)

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