New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 24 (10/24) NFL
- Lm Tipster
- Oct 24, 2022, 4:40:17 AM
Odds
| Time | 8:15 p.m. EST |
| Patriots money line | -400 |
| Patriots spread | -8.5 (-110) |
| Bears money line | +300 |
| Bears spread | +8.5 (-110) |
| Over / under | 40 |
2022 season stats
| New England Patriots | Chicago Bears | |
| Record | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Home / road record | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Points per game | 23.5 | 15.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 18.8 | 19.7 |
| O/U | 3-3 | 2-4 |
| Pass yards per game | 236.3 | 144.3 |
| Rush yards per game | 131.3 | 170.0 |
| Total yards per game | 367.7 | 315.3 |
| Total yards allowed per game | 352.7 | 353.0 |
Preview
The New England Patriots will host the Chicago Bears on Monday Night at the Gillette Stadium. These teams haven't met since 2018 season where the Patriots beat the Bears 38-31 in Chicago covering the spread as -2 pts favorites but they were whole different teams.
New England Patriots
The Patriots get here with 3-3 record after beating the Cleveland Browns 38-15 on the road. In two consecutive starts, rookie backup Bailey Zappe is 2-0, including a 300-yard, two-touchdown outing last week against the Browns but it all points that Mac Jones is ready to return after a 3 game abscence. Jones has made 64 of 97 passes for 786 yards 2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Jakobi Meyers is leading the team in receiving yards with 321 and 1 touchdown while R. Stevenson has 448 rushing yards in 87 carries and 3 touchdowns.
The Patriots defense is allowing 18.8 points per game, ranking seventh in the NFL. They're giving up 337.8 yards per game and allowing an average of only 119.0 yards rushing per game.
Chicago Bears
The Bears get here with a 2-4 record after losing against the Commanders last week 12-7 in Chicago. Justin Fields was was sacked five times, took 12 hits behind a shaky line and absorbed a few more blows by running 12 times in the game. He completed 14 of 27 passes for 190 yards with one touchdown and one interception. Darnell Mooney is leading the team in receiving yards with 241 in 17 receptions while K. Herbert has 402 rushing yards in 63 carries and 3 touchdowns
They haven't been bad defensively as they rank 11th in points allowed at 19.7 points per game. The Bears are 16th in overall defense allowing an average of 341.7 yards per game.
BETTING TRENDS
Chicago are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
Chicago are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against New England.
Chicago are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against New England.
Chicago are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games against Chicago.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 8 games at home.
Prediction
The Patriots have been gret offensively in the last 2 games averaging 34 points per game led by Bailey Zappe but Mac Jones is expected to return for this game. The Bears have been awful offensively and are ranking 30th in the league with only 15.5 points per game and have struggled against the Patriots losing the last 5 head to head games. Chicago's offense strenght is the running game but the Patriots are allowing only 119 rushing yards per game so I expect them to stop the Bears rushing game. I can't trust 9 points to the Patriots as I don't know how Mac Jones will perform and with both of these tough defenses I think the under is the play.
PICK: Under 40 (-110)
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