Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 25 (12/25) NFL

Miami Dolphins vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, Pick and Preview, December 25 (12/25) NFL

 

Odds

Time 8:15 p.m. EST
Packers money line +170
Packers spread +3.5 (-110)
Dolphins money line -160
Dolphins spread -3.5 (-110)
Over / under 49.5

 

2022 season stats

  Green Bay Packers Miami Dolphins
Record 5-8 4-9
Home / road record 3-3 1-4
Points per game 20.5 16.8
Points allowed per game 23.9 22.0
O/U 7-6 5-8
Pass yards per game 234.5 222.0
Rush yards per game 125.0 86.5
Total yards per game 360.5 308.5
Total yards allowed per game 358.5 344.0

 

Preview

The Miami Dolphins hit the road and will visit the Green Bay Packers on Monday night at the Lambeau Field. These teams faced each other last season in Green Bay where the Packers took the win 36-28.

 

Green Bay Packers

The Packers get here with a 5-8 record and are 3-3 at home so far this season ranking 3rd in the NFC North. In their last game, they beat the Bears 28-19 on the road. Rodgers led three fourth-quarter scoring drives, receiver Christian Watson took an end-around 46 yards for a touchdown in the closing minutes to win the game. The team is is averaging 20.2 points per game. They are throwing for 220.2 yards and rushing for 125.4 yards per game.

Defensively, the team has been decent by air, allowing 203 passing yards but struggling to stop by ground allowing 154.5 rushing yards per game. They are allowing 23.9 points per game. 

 

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins have lost 6 of their last 7 games and get here with a 4-9 record. They are 1-4 on the road ranking 3rd in the NFC West. In their last game at home they beat the Raiders 17-16. Mayfield led the Dolphins to two late fourth-quarter touchdowns and a stunning victory

The Defense is allowing 23 points per game and has been very tough against the run allowing only 97 yards and 240 passing yards. Miami' run defense has been solid, ranking fourth in the NFL with linebacker Bobby Wagner leading the effort but Aaron Donald is still out.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games.

Miami are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games against Green Bay.

Miami are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Miami are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against Green Bay.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games.

Green Bay are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.

Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami.

 

Prediction

The Dolphins get here on a 3 game losing streak after but they have been pretty good at home asthey have won 11 of their last 12 games there. The Packers have looked better lately and still have playoffs hopes. They have dominated the Dolphins and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing in Miami. Expect a great battle between Rodgers and Tua but honestly I don't like how the Dolphins defense has played so I gotta go with the Packers.

PICK: Packers +3.5 (-110)

 
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