Mariya Agapova vs Sabina Mazo Odds, Preview and Prediction, October 9 (10/9): UFC
- Oct 7, 2021, 2:14:47 PM
Credit: photo by Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
|Time (Main Card)||4:00 p.m. EST|
|Mariya Agapova money line||+145|
|Sabina Mazo money line||-170|
|Mariya Agapova||Sabina Mazo|
A Women’s Flyweight fight is on tap, as both Mariya Agapova and Sabina 'Colombian Queen’ Mazo look to rebound from defeats. Agapova comes into this contest off the biggest upset in UFC history. Unfortunately for Agapova, she was on the wrong side of history. Ranging from a -1400 to -1667 favorite, Agapova was stopped by the +950 underdog Shana Dobson. A truly stunning turn of events, as Agapova had looked like a juggernaut during a three-fight win streak heading into that fight. Meanwhile, Mazo is returning to the Flyweight division after an unsuccessful foray into the Bantamweight division saw her lose to Alexis Davis. Prior to the loss and the weight class change, Mazo had won three-straight fights.
This is a tough fight to call. Obviously recency bias can get into your head in a fight like this, but it’s important to realize that sometimes fighters have a bad night at the office. It happens. Mariya Agapova is still a dangerous fighter, who has the skills to make a run in this division. She is mainly an aggressive striker, who isn't afraid to brawl. However, she has shown some wrestling skills mixed in once in awhile. With seven finishes in her nine wins, expect Agapova to always hunt for the finish. However, Sabina Mazo is extremely durable. The Columbian is a talented striker who is excellent in keeping distance. From there, she will often outpoint her opponents with volume. In fact, in the last three fights, Mazo has landed over 100 significant strikes.
As for a prediction, I have Mazo. I believe she has good size for the weight class and her ability to land at a high output will always be a factor should the fight stay on the feet. Agapova should have her moments though, as her aggression and wrestling could factor in swinging this fight. However, Agapova needs to be more active and stick to a game plan. Should she be wild and look for the finish, the cardio issues will present itself once again. In the end though, Mazo does a little more activity-wise to sway the judges for a decision victory.
PICK: Sabina Mazo (-170)
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