Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 17 (10/17) NFL

Los Angeles Chargers vs Denver Broncos Prediction, Pick and Preview, October 17 (10/17) NFL

 

Odds

Time 8:15 p.m. EST
Chargers money line -220
Chargers spread -4.5 (-110)
Broncos money line +180
Broncos spread +4.5 (-110)
Over / under 45.5

 

2022 season stats

  Los Angeles Chargers Denver Broncos
Record 3-2 2-3
Home / road record 1-1 0-2
Points per game 24.3 15.0
Points allowed per game 27.3 16.0
O/U 3-2 1-4
Pass yards per game 295.0 250.0
Rush yards per game 99.7 112.0
Total yards per game 394.5 363.5
Total yards allowed per game 384.5 316.0

 

Preview

The Denver Broncos will play again in Prime Time and this time will visit the Los Angeles Chargers on Monday Night at the SoFi Stadium. These teams faced each other twice last season and the Chargers took the win at home 34-13 but lost in Denver 28-13.

 

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers have been good offensively as they scored 32 points per game in in their last 2 games. Justin Herbert has 10 touchdowns in 1478 yards completing 133 of 200 passes. A. Ekeler  leads the team in rushing yards with 313 in 61 carries and 3 touchdowns while Mike Williams has 392 yds and in 28 receptions and 2 touchdowns.

Defensively, they have been struggling, allowing 27 points per game while allowing 253 passing yards and 130 rushing yards. CB Bryce Callahan leads Los Angeles with two interceptions, the same total he had in 21 games for Denver the previous two seasons.

 

Denver Broncos

The Broncos get here with a 2-3 record and have lost their 2 games. Russell Wilson has completed 101 of 170 passes with 1254 yards, 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Javonte Williams who's out for this game leads the team with 204 rushing yards in 47 carries while Courtland Sutton has 29 receptions and 417 receiving yards and 1 touchdown. 

Defensively, the team rank #5 in the NFL allowing an average of 17 points per game and haven’t allowed more than 200 net yards passing in a game this season. OLB Bradley Chubb has 5½ sacks and is the only player in the league with five or more sacks and a pair of forced fumbles in 2022.

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games.

Denver are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games.

Denver are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against LA Chargers.

Denver are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games against LA Chargers.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 9 games against Denver.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Chargers' last 9 games when playing at home against Denver

 

Prediction

The Broncos have struggled offensively scoring an average of 15 points per game and they'll be missing their leading running back in Javonte Williams after he suffered a season-ending ACL and LCL tear in his right knee. The Chargers have played good offense in their last 2 games scoring over 30 points per game but have struggled defensively but with the Broncos playing awful I think the Chargers should win and cover the spread.

PICK: Chargers -4.5 (-110)

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