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Cincinnati Bengals vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction: Betting Analysis for Monday Night Football

The Cincinnati Bengals (4-8) visit the Dallas Cowboys (5-7) at AT&T Stadium in a Monday Night Football clash. Both teams are fighting to salvage disappointing seasons, and with the total set at 49.5, this game promise to be an exciting show. 

 

Odds Table

Team	Spread	Moneyline	Total
Cincinnati Bengals	-5.5 (-110)	-240	Over 49.5 (-110)
Dallas Cowboys	+5.5 (-110)	+200	Under 49.5 (-110)

Team Analysis

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals have endured a frustrating season, sitting at 4-8 despite an explosive offense led by quarterback Joe Burrow. Burrow has thrown for 3,337 yards, 30 touchdowns, and just five interceptions, relying heavily on his star receiver Ja’Marr Chase, who has racked up 1,142 receiving yards and 13 touchdowns.

Running back Chris Brown has added balance to the offense with 677 rushing yards and six touchdowns. However, Cincinnati’s defense has been a liability, allowing an average of 28.3 points per game, ranking near the bottom of the league. This defensive vulnerability has resulted in multiple shootouts, making the over an attractive option.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys have also struggled defensively, allowing 339 points this season. Quarterback Dak Prescott remains sidelined, leaving the offense in the hands of backup Cooper Rush. While Rush has shown flashes of competence, the Cowboys have relied heavily on their ground game, with Rico Dowdle leading the way with 600 rushing yards.

Receiver CeeDee Lamb remains a focal point of the offense, tallying 880 yards and four touchdowns despite the team’s inconsistency. With a struggling defense and an offense capable of explosive plays, the Cowboys have also been involved in high-scoring affairs this season.

Recent Performance

Cincinnati Bengals

• 12/1/24: Lost to Pittsburgh Steelers 44-38
• 11/17/24: Lost at Los Angeles Chargers 34-27
• 11/7/24: Lost at Baltimore Ravens 35-34
• 11/3/24: Defeated Las Vegas Raiders 41-24
• 10/27/24: Lost to Philadelphia Eagles 37-17

Dallas Cowboys

• 11/28/24: Beat New York Giants 27-20
• 11/24/24: Defeated Washington Commanders 34-26
• 11/18/24: Lost to Houston Texans 34-10
• 11/10/24: Lost to Philadelphia Eagles 34-6
• 11/3/24: Lost at Atlanta Falcons 27-21

Head-to-Head Comparison

These teams last met in 2021, with Dallas earning a narrow victory. However, both squads have undergone significant changes since then. Cincinnati’s explosive offense under Joe Burrow matches up favorably against a porous Dallas defense, while the Cowboys’ ability to move the ball efficiently, especially in garbage time, enhances the chances of a high-scoring game.

ATS Records

Cincinnati Bengals: 5-7 against the spread, covering in 2 of their last 5 games.

Dallas Cowboys: 6-6 against the spread, including 2 straight covers entering this game.

Betting Stats and Trends

• The total has gone over in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games.
• The total has gone over in 3 of Dallas’ last 5 games.
• Cincinnati ranks 6th in points scored (27.9 per game) but 30th in points allowed (28.3).
• The Bengals have hit the over in 8 of their 12 games this season.
• The Cowboys average 20.7 points per game and allow 28.3 points per game at home.

Prediction