Atlanta Braves vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs St Louis Cardinals Prediction, Pick and Preview, July 5 (7/5): MLB

Credit: photo by Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Cardinals money line +126
Cardinals run line +1.5 (-150)
Braves money line -150
Braves run line -1.5 (+130)
Over / under 9.5

 

Key stats

  St Louis Cardinals  Atlanta Braves
Record 44-38 47-34
Home / home record 20-22 25-17
Last 10 record 4-6 6-4
Streak L2 W1
Over / under record 40-38-4 41-37-3
Runs / game 4.73 4.73
Runs allowed / game 3.93 4.11

 

Preview

The Atlanta Braves and the St Louis Cardinals will play the 2nd game of the series at the Truist Park on Tuesday. The Braves took the win 6-3 in the first game of the series. Swanson hit a three-run double in a five-run second inning and Matt Olson had two RBI singles.

St Louis Cardinals

The Cardinals get here with a 44-38 record and have lost 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs and and they're batting for .253 AVG, have 383 runs scored in 697 hits and 88 home runs, ranking #8 in offense in the league behind the Boston Red Sox. Paul Goldschmidt leads the team with 19 home runs and batting for .341 AVG with 65 RBI so far.

Defensively they are allowing 3.9 runs per game and rank #8 in the league. Miles Mikolas leads the pitching staff with a 2.61 ERA, 79 strikeouts and 5 wins recorded with the Cards.

Probable Pitcher: Andre Pallante (2-3, 2.10 ERA)

Pallante will take the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Cardinals. On Wednesday against the Marlins, Pallante pitched seven innings in a no-decision while giving up two runs on five hits, a walk, and two strikeouts. He hasn't pitched against the Braves in his career.

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 45-32 record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4.7 runs per game. They're batting for .248 AVG, 378 runs scored in 674 hits and 122 home runs, ranking #9 in offense in the league behind the St Louis Cardinals. Austin Riley is leading the team with 20 home runs and 48 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .301. 

Defensively they are allowing 4.1 runs per game and rank #11 in the league. Kyle Wright pitched 4 scoreless innings against the Cards. He leads the pitching staff with a 2.91 ERA, 98 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the Braves.

Probable Pitcher:  Ian Anderson (6-5, 5.31 ERA)

Anderson will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Braves. Anderson took the loss against the Phillies on Thursday, allowing seven earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out one. He hasn't pitched against the Cardinals in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

St. Louis Cardinals are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games on the road.

St. Louis Cardinals are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

Atlanta Braves are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games against an opponent in the National League.

Prediction

The Cardinals have now lost 4 of their last 5 games and 5 straight against the Braves but they might have a chance facing Ian Anderson who has struggled this season and has allowed 11 runs in his last 6 innings pitched. The Cardinals will send Pallante to the mound who has been doing a decent job as a starter but pitching against a hot team like the Braves won't be easy. I expect both offenses to get many runs on this game to help the total to go over.

PICK: Over 9.5 (-110)

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