Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 17 (8/17): MLB

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction, Pick and Preview, August 17 (8/17): MLB

Credit: photo by Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 7:20 p.m. EST
Braves money line +122
Braves run line +1.5 (-145)
Mets money line -145
Mets run line -1.5 (+125)
Over / under 7.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  New York Mets
Record 72-46 75-42
Home / road record 39-22 35-23
Last 10 record 8-2 7-3
Streak W8 L2
Over / under record 59-52-7 59-51-7
Runs / game 4.80 4.80
Runs allowed / game 3.97 3.64

 

Preview

The New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves will play the 3rd game of the series at the loanDepot park on Wednesday. The Braves blanked the Mets 5-0 in the second game of the series. Charlie Morton was dominant on the mound, Matt Olson and Robbie Grossman went deep, and the Braves made it eight in a row.

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 72-46 record and have won their last 8 games. The team is averaging 4.81 runs per game. They're batting for .250 AVG, 539 runs scored in 955 hits and 170 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 30 home runs and 74 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .300. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.97 runs per game and rank #7 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.60 ERA, 127 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Jake Odorizzi (4-4, 3.80 ERA)

Odorizzi will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for Atlanta. Odorizzi was dealt the loss in his Atlanta debut in Game 1 of a doubleheader Saturday with the Mets. He struck out four over 4.2 innings and was charged with three runs (two earned) on six hits and three walks. He has a record of 0-2 with an ERA of 3.38 and 13 strikeouts in 3 appearances against the Mets in his career.

 

New York Mets

The Mets get here with a 75-42 record and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.80 runs per game. They're batting for .259 AVG, 544 runs scored in 992 hits and 115 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league behind the Atlanta Braves. Jeff McNeil is batting for .307 AVG while Pete Alonso leads with 29 home runs and 96 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.64 runs per game and rank #4 in the league. Chris Bassit leads the pitching staff with a 3.39 ERA, 123 strikeouts and 9 wins recorded with the NY Mets.

Probable Pitcher:  Max Scherzer (8-2, 1.93 ERA)

Scherzer will be on the mound in the 3rd game of the series for the Mets. Scherzer yielded one run on nine hits over seven innings in Friday's loss to the Phillies. He struck out six and did not factor in the decision. He is 12-9 with an ERA of 3.62 and 205 strikeouts in 29 appearances against the Braves in his career.

BETTING TRENDS

NY Mets are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Mets' last 8 games against an opponent in the National League.

Atlanta are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games against NY Mets.

Atlanta are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.

Prediction

The Mets were dominated by Charlie Morton and the Braves bullpen and lost the game 5-0. For this game the Mets will send Max Scherzer to the mound who has solid since his return allowing 2 or less runs per game and has dominated the Braves this season. Jake Odorizzi will take the mound for the Braves who has been up and down this season and has struggled vs Mets in his career. Scherzer has been insane this season so I expect him to be dominant on the mound and the Mets offense to wake up for this game. Take the Mets.

PICK: Mets ML (-145)

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