Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 26 (9/26) MLB

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 26 (9/26) MLB

 

Odds

Time 7:05 p.m. EST
Braves money line -245
Braves run line -1.5 (-150)
Nationals money line +200
Nationals run line +1.5 (+130)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Atlanta Braves  Washington Nationals
Record 95-58 53-99
Road / home record 43-32 24-50
Last 10 record 7-3 4-6
Streak W2 W1
Over / under record 76-69-8 70-73-9
Runs / game 4.96 3.86
Runs allowed / game 3.80 5.20

 

Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Atlanta Braves will meet again to play a 3-game series at the Nationals Park. The Braves won their weekend series against the Phillies while the Nationals lost vs Marlins 2 of 3 times and are 4-12 against the Braves this season.

 

Atlanta Braves

The Braves get here with a 95-58 record and have won 7 their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.96 runs per game. They're batting for .254 AVG, 746 runs scored in 1321 hits and 227 home runs, ranking #3 in offense in the league behind the NY Yankees. Austin Riley is leading the team with 37 home runs and 92 RBI while Dansby Swanson has the better batting average with .280. 

Defensively they are allowing 3.80 runs per game and rank #6 in the league. Max Fried leads the pitching staff with a 2.50 ERA, 167 strikeouts and 20 wins recorded with the Braves. 

Probable Pitcher:  Bryce Elder (1-3, 3.38 ERA)

Elder will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Braves. Spencer Strider's oblique is bothering him, so he will be pushed back a few days and Elder will step into the rotation Wednesday in order to allow Max Fried to line up against the Phillies on Thursday. He has allowed 3 runs on 6 hits with 4 strikeouts in 5.2 innings against the Nationals in his career. He has been credited with the win.

Washington Nationals

The Nationals get here with a 53-99 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.86 runs per game. They're batting for .251 AVG, 577 runs scored in 1279 hits and 130 home runs, ranking #25 in offense in the league, behind the Kansas City Royals. Joey Meneses has a batting average of .309, 9 home runs and 23 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 5.20 runs per game and ranking #29, the second worst in the league. Josiah Gray leads the team with a 5.17 ERA, 152 strikeouts and 7 wins recorded for the Nationals.

Probable Pitcher:  Cory Abbott (0-3, 4.85 ERA)

Abbott will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Nationals. Abbott took the loss Monday as the Nationals fell 5-2 to Atlanta, giving up four runs on six hits and two walks over four innings. He failed to strike out a batter. He has allowed 4 runs on 6 hits with 2 walks in 4 innings against the Braves in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Atlanta are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games against Washington.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games on the road.

Atlanta are 14-1 SU in their last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games.

Washington are 4-10 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games against Atlanta.

 

Prediction

The Nationals have struggled at home this season as they're winning only the 32% of the time and have lost 14 of the last 15 at home vs Braves. Cory Abbott will start for the Nationals who has struggled this season and was pounded by the Braves in his last start. The Braves clinched a playoff spot but will continue fighting for the division title with the Mets. Bryce Elder has been solid in his last 3 starts including the one vs Nationals where he held them to only 1 run across 5.2 innings. The Braves will probably sweep the Nats on this series so go with them to win this game.

PICK: Braves -1.5 (-150) 

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