Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 16 (6/16): MLB

Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Pick and Preview, June 16 (6/16): MLB

Credit: photo by Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 3:07 p.m. EST
Orioles money line +220
Orioles run line +1.5 (+105)
Blue Jays money line -270
Blue Jays run line -1.5 (-125)
Over / under 8.5

 

Key stats

  Baltimore Orioles Toronto Blue Jays
Record 27-37 37-25
Road / home record 12-22 20-11
Last 10 record 5-5 6-4
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 30-31-3 30-31-1
Runs / game 4.03 4.46
Runs allowed / game 4.62 3.95

 

Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Baltimore Orioles will play the 4th game of the series at the Rogers Centre on Thursday. The Blue Jays took the win 7-6 in extra innings on Wednesday to take the lead 2-1 on the series.

Baltimore Orioles

The Orioles get here with a 27-37 record and have won 3 of their last 5 games. The team is averaging 4 runs while allowing 4.62 runs per game. Anthony Santander leads the team with 11 home runs and 33 RBI. Austin Hays is batting for a .297 avg

Jordan Lyles leads the pitching staff with a 5.10 ERA, 62 strikeouts and 4 wins recorded.

Probable Pitcher:

Tyler Wells (3-4, 3.86 ERA) will be on the mound for the Orioles in the 4th game of the series. Wells earned the win over the Royals on Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four batters in six innings.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Blue Jays get here with a 37-25 record and have won 4 of their last 6 games. The team is averaging 4.46 runs while allowing 4 runs per game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr leads the team with .258 ERA, 37 RBI and 15 home runs. 

Alek Manoah earned the win against the Orioles pitching 6 scoreless innings and leads the team with a 1.67 ERA and 68 strikeouts recording 8 wins for the Jays.

Probable Pitcher:

Kevin Gausman (5-5, 2.67 ERA) will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in the 4th game of the series. On Saturday, Gausman took the loss against the Tigers, giving two runs (one earned) on six hits in six innings while striking out four and walking three.

BETTING TRENDS

Baltimore are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games against Toronto.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games on the road.

Toronto are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games against Baltimore.

Prediction

The Blue Jays came up with the victory in extra innings on Wednesday after a game that was supposed to be easy for them. They're now 8-1 in their last 9 games against the Orioles and while the over has cashed in the last 5 head to head games I think this one will stay under the total. Gausman and Wells should provide quality starts and are going to slow down the offenses. The under is 7-4-1 in 12 starts for Wells.   

PICK: Under 8.5 (-110)

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