Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 16 (1/16) NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys Prediction, Pick and Preview, January 16 (1/16) NFL

 

Odds

Time 8:15 p.m. EST
Cowboys money line -140
Cowboys spread -2.5 (-110)
Buccaneers money line +120
Buccaneers spread +2.5 (-110)
Over / under 45.5

 

2022 season stats

  Dallas Cowboys Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Record 12-5 8-9
Road / home record 4-4 5-4
Points per game 28.9 18.3
Points allowed per game 19.5 18.9
Pass yards per game 226.0 278.0
Rush yards per game 139.0 76.0
Total yards per game 376.0 350.0
Total yards allowed per game 330.0 354.0

 

Preview

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will host the Dallas Cowboys at the Raymond James Stadium on Monday night to play the NFC Wild Card Playoff game. These teams already each other earlier this season in Dallas where the Bucs took the win 19-3.

 

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys get here with an 12-5 record and are 4-4 on the road so far this season ranking 2nd in the NFC East. With 219.8 yards per game, their passing offense ranks 14th in the league. Dallas ranks ninth this season in running offense with 135.2 yards per game and  average 27.5 points per game placing them fourth in scoring offense. Dak Prescott has completed 261 of 394 passes for 2,860 yards, 23 touchdowns, and 15 interceptions.

The Cowboys defense has been solid and are allowing 19.5 points per game and 351 yards. This is the 6th least amount of points given up per game and the 6th least amount of yards. Dallas has been great against the pass allowing 224 passing yards but they have struggled against the run allowing 127 yds.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers get here with a 8-9 record and are 5-4 at home so far this season ranking 1st in the NFC South. They clinched the playoff berth after beating the Panthers 30-24 but then lost against the Falcons in a meaningless game.  Tom Brady has completed 490 of 733 passes for 4,694 yards with 25 touchdowns against nine interceptions. 

Defensively, they have been great against the run allowing 117 rushing yards but have struggled against the pass allowing 223 yards. They are allowing an average of 18.9 points per game. Their opponents convert 36.6 percent of their third downs into first downs, which ranks sixth, and 61.3 percent of their chances in the end zone into touchdowns, which ranks eighth.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Dallas are 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.

Dallas are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Tampa Bay.

Dallas are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games against Tampa Bay.

Dallas are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas' last 7 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay.

Tampa Bay are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games against Dallas.

Tampa Bay are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Buccaneers were up and down in the season but they were 8-4 against teams in the National Conference ranking them 1st in the NFC South. The Cowboys lost only 5 games in the regular season but were only 4-4 in road games. Dallas is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 playoff games and were awful against the Bucs in the regular season. The Bucs will have Evans and other key players in the secondary for this game. Also Tom Brady is 7-0 against the Cowboys in his career so give me the Bucs to cover this number.

PICK: Buccaneers +2.5 (-110)

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