Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers Chanticleers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23) NCAAF

Syracuse Orange vs Virginia Cavaliers Chanticleers Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 23 (9/23) NCAAF

 

Odds

Time 7:00 p.m. EST
Virginia money line +300
Virginia spread +10 (-110)
Syracuse money line -400
Syracuse spread -10 (-110)
Over / under 54

 

2022 season stats

  Virginia Cavaliers Syracuse Orange
Record 2-1 3-0
Road / home record 0-1 2-0
O/U 0-3 2-1
Points per game 17.7 37.0
Points allowed per game 18.3 16.7
Pass yards per game 236.7 245.3
Rush yards per game 176.5 163.0
Total yards per game 413.3 408.3
Total yards allowed per game 349.3 340.3

Preview

The Syracuse Orange will host the Virginia Cavaliers at the Carrier Dome on Friday. These teams haven't met since 2015 where the Cavaliers won 44-38 at home. Syracuse is still undefeated and is 2-0 at home while the Cavaliers lost vs Illinois on the road.

 

Virginia Cavaliers

The Cavaliers have struggled offensively and are 2-1 so far this season. Last saturday, they barely beat the Monarchs who are one of the worst teams in the nation. Armstrong finished 20 of 37 for 284 yards, including a 30-yard connection with Lavel Davis Jr. to start the winning drive. He also ran for 54 yards, including a 13-yarder to get Virginia to the ODU 20 in the final minute. Tight end Grant Misch, who had seven career receptions in 37 games prior to Saturday, caught four passes for 33 yards.

The strength of this team is the defense. They are allowing 18.3 points per game on 349.3 total yards. In their last game vs Old Dominion they allowed 235 passing yards and only 89 rushing yds stopping them in 15 of 19 3rd down attempts and in 2 of 3 4rd down attempts.

 

Syracuse Orange

The Orange are 3-0 so far this season as they beat the Purdue Boilermakers 32-29 last Saturday with a great performance from their quarterback Garrett Shrader who connected with Oronde Gadsden II on a 25-yard touchdown with seven seconds left.  Shrader had been among the most accurate passers in the country through his first two games of the season (38-48,.792), but Purdue applied consistent pressure on him early, causing Shrader to scramble and mostly forsake an air assault. In the first half, he completed 4 of 10 throws for just 35 yards.

Defensively, the team has has been great allowing an average of 16.7 points per game as well as 340.3 yards. Purdue averaged 7.7 yards per passing attempt throughout the game, so their secondary needs to be better. 

 

BETTING TRENDS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games.

Virginia are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Virginia are 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road.

Syracuse are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.

Syracuse are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games at home.

Syracuse are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.

 

Prediction

The Syracuse Orange have been great offensively but they're also playing great defense allowing only 16.7 points per game. They're facing a defense that is known for being tough season after season and they're now allowing only 18.3 points per game. I'm not really expecting a low scoring game but the total seems to high for me considering how these defenses have played. Take the under.

PICK: Under 54 (-110)

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