SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl: USC vs. Texas A&M Betting Analysis and Prediction
Game Overview
The USC Trojans (6-6) take on the Texas A&M Aggies (8-4) in the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl on December 27, 2024, at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Both teams started the season with high hopes but fell short of expectations, making this matchup a chance for redemption. With a total set at 52.5, this game could see plenty of fireworks given both teams' offensive capabilities.
Betting Odds
| Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| USC Trojans | +3.5 (-105) | o52.5 (-105) | +160 |
| Texas A&M Aggies | -3.5 (-115) | u52.5 (-115) | -190 |
With Texas A&M favored by 3.5 points and the total hovering at 52.5, this game is expected to be competitive but leans slightly toward the Aggies.
Team Analysis
USC Trojans
The Trojans come into this game with a .500 record (6-6) after a rollercoaster season. Quarterback Malachi Moss has been the engine of the offense, throwing for 2,555 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. Running back Will Marks has been a consistent contributor on the ground with 1,133 yards and 9 touchdowns, while wide receiver Makai Lemon leads the receiving corps with 665 yards and 3 scores.
Defensively, USC has struggled, allowing an average of 32 points per game. The inability to stop opposing offenses has been their Achilles' heel all season, making their offensive production critical to staying competitive.
Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies finished the season 8-4, highlighted by wins over LSU and New Mexico State. Quarterback Mason Reed has been efficient, passing for 1,572 yards and 12 touchdowns while throwing just 4 interceptions. Running back Le'Veon Moss has provided balance with 765 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns. Wide receiver Noah Thomas has been the primary deep threat with 545 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns.
Defensively, Texas A&M has been inconsistent, allowing 28 points per game over their last five contests. Their defense will need to step up against a high-scoring USC offense.
Recent Performance
USC Trojans
USC closed out the season with a disappointing loss to Notre Dame (49-35) but showed flashes of offensive brilliance. They averaged 27 points per game in their last five outings but allowed a staggering 33 points per game, highlighting their defensive woes.
Texas A&M Aggies
The Aggies lost two of their final three games, including a 17-7 loss to Texas in the regular-season finale. However, their offense has shown the ability to score in bunches, averaging 33 points per game in their last three wins.
Head-to-Head Matchup
This is the first meeting between USC and Texas A&M in recent history. Both teams feature talented offenses capable of putting up points, making this matchup one of the most exciting on the bowl calendar.
Betting Trends
- The total has gone over in five of USC’s last seven games.
- Texas A&M has allowed 30+ points in three of their last five games.
- The over has hit in four of Texas A&M’s last six games.
- USC is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
Prediction
Both teams come into this game with potent offenses but shaky defenses, setting the stage for a high-scoring affair. USC's Malachi Moss and Texas A&M's Mason Reed should have no trouble moving the ball through the air, while the ground games provide balance for both teams. Expect plenty of points and for the game to comfortably go over the total.
