Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 27 (9/27): MLB

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 27 (9/27): MLB

 

Odds

Time 6:35 p.m. EST
Reds money line -105
Reds run line +1.5 (-220)
Pirates money line -115
Pirates run line -1.5 (+180)
Over / under 7

 

Key stats

  Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates
Record 60-94 57-97
Road / home record 29-47 30-46
Last 10 record 3-7 2-8
Streak L1 W1
Over / under record 74-76-4 71-74-9
Runs / game 4.13 3.59
Runs allowed / game 5.00 5.08

 

Preview

The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates will play the 2nd game of the series at the PNC Park on Tuesday. The Pirates took the win 8-3 in the first game of this meaningless series. Jack Suwinski hit a two-run double to key a four-run seventh inning.

 

Cincinnati Reds

The Reds get here with a 60-94 record and have lost 7 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 4.13 runs. They're batting for .238 AVG, 630 runs scored in 1211 hits and 150 home runs, ranking #19 in offense in the league behind the Arizona Dbacks. Kyle Farmer leads the team with 73 RBI, 13 home runs and batting for .255 AVG.

Defensively they are allowing 5.00 runs per game and rank #28 in the league. Hunter Greene leads the pitching staff with a 4.91 ERA, 146 strikeouts and 4 wins recorded with the Reds.

Probable Pitcher:  Hunter Greene (4-13, 4.91 ERA)

Green will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Reds. Greene took the loss Thursday, allowing two runs on two hits and three walks over five innings against Milwaukee. He struck out eight. He has given up 1 run on 0 hits with 5 walks and 9 strikeouts in 7.1 innings against the Pirates in his career. He has been charged with the loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pirates get to this game with a 57-97 record and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. The team is averaging 3.59 runs per game. They're batting for .221 AVG, 549 runs scored in 1106 hits and 155 home runs, ranking #27 in offense in the league behind the Washington Nationals. Bryan Reynolds leads the team in home runs with 26, 60 RBI and batting for an average of .266.

Defensively they are allowing 5.08 runs per game and ranking #26 in the league. JT Brubaker leads the pitching staff with a 4.58 ERA, 145 strikeouts and 3 wins with the Pirates.

Probable Pitcher:  Mitch Keller (5-12, 3.99 ERA)

Keller will be on the mound in the 2nd game of the series for the Pirates. Keller took the loss Thursday against the Cubs, allowing two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out seven in six innings. He is 1-4 with an ERA of 7.36 and 39 strikeouts in 10 appearances against the Reds in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Cincinnati are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against Pittsburgh.

Cincinnati are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games.

Pittsburgh are 2-9 SU in their last 11 games.

Pittsburgh are 4-15 SU in their last 19 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Reds are already eliminated and have been awful offensively averaging only 2.5 runs per game in the last 10 played. Hunter Greene will start for the Reds who has been solid in his last outings allowing only 2 runs across 17 innings pitched and dominated the Pirates earlier this season. The Pirates are also eliminated and have lost 8 of their last 10 games. Mitch Keller has been up and down this season and has been pounded by the Reds. These teams have nothing to play for so they're just having fun without any pressure but the Reds have the advantage on the mound with Greene so take the Reds win this game.

PICK: Reds ML (-105)

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