New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 5 (9/5): MLB

New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Pick and Preview, September 5 (9/5): MLB

Credit: photo by   Nick Wosika--USA TODAY Sports

 

Odds

Time 1:05 p.m. EST
Twins money line +144
Twins run line +1.5 (-135)
Yankees money line -175
Yankees run line +1.5 (+115)
Over / under 8

 

Key stats

  Minnesota Twins  New York Yankees
Record 68-64 80-54
Home / road record 28-35 45-20
Last 10 record 6-4 4-6
Streak W1 W1
Over / under record 61-61-10 60-69-5
Runs / game 4.41 4.91
Runs allowed / game 4.23 3.52

 

Preview

The New York Yankees and the Minnesota Twins will play the 2nd game of the series at the Target Field on Tuesday. The Twins took the win 4-2 in the first game of the series and are 3-2 vs Yankees this season. Gio Urshela's three-run double in the fifth inning pushed Minnesota ahead and four relievers made the lead.

 

Minnesota Twins

The Twins get here with a 66-61 record and have won their last 4 games. They're averaging 4.41 runs and batting for .249 AVG, 583 runs scored in 1104 hits and 154 home runs, ranking #15 in offense in the league behind the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez is batting for .318 AVG. Byron Buxton leads with 51 RBI and 28 home runs.

Defensively they are allowing 4.23 runs per game and ranking #13 in the league. Joe Ryan leads the team with a 3.88 ERA, 121 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Twins.

Probable Pitcher:  Chris Archer (2-7 4.52 ERA)

Archer will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for Minnesota. Archer allowed four runs on five hits and two walks with three strikeouts over 4.1 innings against the Red Sox on Tuesday. He did not factor in the decision. He  is 7-7 with an ERA of 3.03 and 121 strikeouts in 20 appearances versus the Yankees in his career.

New York Yankees

The Yankees get here with a 79-50 record and have lost 3 of their last 4 games. The team is averaging 4.91 runs per game. They're batting for .238 AVG, 653 runs scored in 1059 hits and 206 home runs, ranking #4 in offense in the league, behind the Atlanta Braves. Aaron Judge leads the team and is batting for .297 with 53 home runs and 115 RBI.

Defensively they are allowing 3.52 runs per game and rank #3 in the league. Gerrit Cole leads the pitching staff with a 3.28 ERA, 204 strikeouts and 10 wins recorded with the Yanks.

Probable Pitcher:  Jameson Taillon (12-4, 3.97 ERA)

Taillon will be on the mound in the 1st game of the series for the Yankees. Taillon suffered a right forearm contusion after being hit by a line drive during the Angels' win on Tuesday. The injury did not appear to be significant, and the fact that he was able to avoid missing a start is encouraging for a Yankees pitching staff that has been plagued by injuries all season. He has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 5.23 and 21 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Twins in his career.

 

BETTING TRENDS

Minnesota are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games against NY Yankees.

Minnesota are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

Minnesota are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Yankees' last 16 games against Minnesota.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees' last 5 games at home.

 

Prediction

The Yankees avoided the sweep in their last series vs Rays but they scored only 3 runs in the whole series. For this game they'll send Jameson Taillon who has struggled against the Twins in his career. Chris Archer will take the mound for the Twins who has been pounded in his last 2 outings allowin 9 runs across 8.1 innings pitched but dominated the Yankees earlier this season. The Yankees have a good record at home and have dominated the Twins there but it's really hard to trust them right now, they're dealing with some injuries and haven't been profitable against the spread at home. I'm going with the Twins to cover the run line.

PICK: Twins +1.5 (-135)

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